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Primera B Metropolitana · 100,000 simulations

Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza prediction

We simulated Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza 100,000 times. Villa Dálmine won 55,380 of them (55.4%), the draw came up 29.5% of the time and UAI Urquiza won 15.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.5%), and both teams score in 35.6% of simulations.

Villa Dálmine badge
Villa Dálmine Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini
0–0 Full time
UAI Urquiza badge
UAI Urquiza Away
55.4% 55,380 wins
29.5% Draw
15.1% 15,127 wins
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.61
Likeliest score
1-0 17.5%
Both score
35.6%
Over 2.5
33.2%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 29.5% and gave this exact score 14.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Ramiro Ezequiel Maglio Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Campana
Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza live score, stats & lineups

Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B Metropolitana · Sunday 27 September, 19:00

Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza simulation probabilities
Villa Dálmine win55.4%
Draw29.5%
UAI Urquiza win15.1%
Most likely score1-0 (17.5%)
Expected goals1.42 – 0.61
Both teams to score35.6%
Over 1.5 goals61.1%
Over 2.5 goals33.2%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Villa Dálmine score first58.9%
UAI Urquiza score first26.4%
Villa Dálmine clean sheet54.3%
UAI Urquiza clean sheet24.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420503713
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza prediction FAQs

Who will win Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza?

Villa Dálmine are favourites. They win 55.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.5% for the draw and 15.1% for UAI Urquiza. Including the draw, Villa Dálmine avoid defeat 84.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza?

1-0, which came up in 17.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (14.5%) and 2-0 (13.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza?

Both teams score in 35.6% of simulations. Villa Dálmine keep a clean sheet 54.3% of the time and UAI Urquiza 24.6%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Dálmine vs UAI Urquiza?

The simulations average 2.03 goals: 1.42 for Villa Dálmine and 0.61 for UAI Urquiza. Over 1.5 goals lands 61.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 33.2% and over 3.5 goals 15%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.