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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Wellington United W vs Waterside Karori W 100,000 times. Wellington United W won 65,852 of them (65.9%), the draw came up 21.2% of the time and Waterside Karori W won 13%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.8%), and both teams score in 57.4% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Wellington United W winning 65.9% and gave this exact score 9.5%.
| Wellington United W win | 65.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% |
| Waterside Karori W win | 13% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.34 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.4% |
| Wellington United W score first | 68.5% |
| Waterside Karori W score first | 26% |
| Wellington United W clean sheet | 37.9% |
| Waterside Karori W clean sheet | 10.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711574 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wellington United W are favourites. They win 65.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.2% for the draw and 13% for Waterside Karori W. Including the draw, Wellington United W avoid defeat 87% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations. Wellington United W keep a clean sheet 37.9% of the time and Waterside Karori W 10.1%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 2.34 for Wellington United W and 0.98 for Waterside Karori W. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.1% and over 3.5 goals 42.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.