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Club Friendlies 3 · 100,000 simulations

Willem II vs Mechelen prediction

We simulated Willem II vs Mechelen 100,000 times. Mechelen won 38,754 of them (38.8%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Willem II won 34.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Mechelen win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations.

Willem II badge
Willem II Koning Willem II Stadion
1–0 Full time
Mechelen badge
Mechelen Away
34.4% 34,427 wins
26.8% Draw
38.8% 38,754 wins
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.52
Likeliest score
1-1 12.5% Top Mechelen win: 1-2 8.5%
Both score
59.7%
Over 2.5
56%

Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Willem II winning 34.4% and gave this exact score 6.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Willem II vs Mechelen live score, stats & lineups

Willem II vs Mechelen in numbers 100,000 simulations · Club Friendlies 3 · Saturday 25 July, 13:00

Willem II vs Mechelen simulation probabilities
Willem II win34.4%
Draw26.8%
Mechelen win38.8%
Most likely score1-1 (12.5%)
Expected goals1.42 – 1.52
Both teams to score59.7%
Over 1.5 goals79.9%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33.8%
Willem II score first49.6%
Mechelen score first43.6%
Willem II clean sheet22.4%
Mechelen clean sheet24.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420568203
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Willem II vs Mechelen prediction FAQs

Who will win Willem II vs Mechelen?

Mechelen are favourites. They win 38.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 34.4% for Willem II. Including the draw, Mechelen avoid defeat 65.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Willem II vs Mechelen?

1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Mechelen win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Willem II vs Mechelen?

Both teams score in 59.7% of simulations. Willem II keep a clean sheet 22.4% of the time and Mechelen 24.6%.

How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Mechelen?

The simulations average 2.93 goals: 1.42 for Willem II and 1.52 for Mechelen. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56% and over 3.5 goals 33.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.