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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Winterthur vs Luzern 100,000 times. Luzern won 52,908 of them (52.9%), the draw came up 19.8% of the time and Winterthur won 27.3%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.9%), and both teams score in 67.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Luzern winning 52.9% and gave this exact score 6.3%.
| Winterthur win | 27.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.8% |
| Luzern win | 52.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 2.14 |
| Both teams to score | 67.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.7% |
| Winterthur score first | 37% |
| Luzern score first | 60.6% |
| Winterthur clean sheet | 12.2% |
| Luzern clean sheet | 23.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711599 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Luzern are favourites. They win 52.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.8% for the draw and 27.3% for Winterthur. Including the draw, Luzern avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8%) and 2-2 (6.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.1% of simulations. Winterthur keep a clean sheet 12.2% of the time and Luzern 23.1%.
The simulations average 3.62 goals: 1.48 for Winterthur and 2.14 for Luzern. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.7% and over 3.5 goals 48.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.