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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Xelajú vs Municipal 100,000 times. Xelajú won 44,945 of them (44.9%), the draw came up 32.9% of the time and Municipal won 22.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.5%, while the likeliest Xelajú win is 1-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Xelajú winning 44.9% and gave this exact score 9.9%.
| Xelajú win | 44.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.9% |
| Municipal win | 22.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.4% |
| Xelajú score first | 51.9% |
| Municipal score first | 35.8% |
| Xelajú clean sheet | 38.4% |
| Municipal clean sheet | 24% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420586922 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Xelajú are favourites. They win 44.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.9% for the draw and 22.2% for Municipal. Including the draw, Xelajú avoid defeat 77.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12.4%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Xelajú win is 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Xelajú keep a clean sheet 38.4% of the time and Municipal 24%.
The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.44 for Xelajú and 0.96 for Municipal. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.2% and over 3.5 goals 22.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.