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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Xerez vs Cádiz 100,000 times. Cádiz won 42,716 of them (42.7%), the draw came up 27.8% of the time and Xerez won 29.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Cádiz win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Cádiz winning 42.7% and gave this exact score 4.5%.
| Xerez win | 29.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.8% |
| Cádiz win | 42.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.51 |
| Both teams to score | 55.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.2% |
| Xerez score first | 41.1% |
| Cádiz score first | 50.7% |
| Xerez clean sheet | 22.5% |
| Cádiz clean sheet | 30% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731328 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cádiz are favourites. They win 42.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.8% for the draw and 29.5% for Xerez. Including the draw, Cádiz avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest Cádiz win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations. Xerez keep a clean sheet 22.5% of the time and Cádiz 30%.
The simulations average 2.72 goals: 1.22 for Xerez and 1.51 for Cádiz. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.1% and over 3.5 goals 29.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.