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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Xorazm vs Pakhtakor 100,000 times. Pakhtakor won 56,088 of them (56.1%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Xorazm won 19%. The most likely score is 0-1 (12.2%), and both teams score in 48.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Pakhtakor winning 56.1% and gave this exact score 12.2%.
| Xorazm win | 19% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Pakhtakor win | 56.1% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 0.89 – 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.5% |
| Xorazm score first | 28.8% |
| Pakhtakor score first | 63.1% |
| Xorazm clean sheet | 18.5% |
| Pakhtakor clean sheet | 41.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420513655 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Pakhtakor are favourites. They win 56.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 19% for Xorazm. Including the draw, Pakhtakor avoid defeat 81% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.7%) and 0-2 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations. Xorazm keep a clean sheet 18.5% of the time and Pakhtakor 41.4%.
The simulations average 2.60 goals: 0.89 for Xorazm and 1.71 for Pakhtakor. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48% and over 3.5 goals 26.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.