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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Yarmouk vs Sporty 100,000 times. Yarmouk won 93,987 of them (94%), the draw came up 4.8% of the time and Sporty won 1.2%. The most likely score is 3-0 (15.8%), and both teams score in 23.5% of simulations.
Full time 11-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Yarmouk winning 94%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Yarmouk win | 94% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.8% |
| Sporty win | 1.2% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (15.8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.61 – 0.28 |
| Both teams to score | 23.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.9% |
| Yarmouk score first | 91.1% |
| Sporty score first | 6.9% |
| Yarmouk clean sheet | 75.7% |
| Sporty clean sheet | 3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420741087 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Yarmouk are favourites. They win 94% of our 100,000 simulations, against 4.8% for the draw and 1.2% for Sporty. Including the draw, Yarmouk avoid defeat 98.8% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 15.8% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (14.1%) and 2-0 (13.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 23.5% of simulations. Yarmouk keep a clean sheet 75.7% of the time and Sporty 3%.
The simulations average 3.89 goals: 3.61 for Yarmouk and 0.28 for Sporty. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.7% and over 3.5 goals 53.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.