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Liga BetPlay Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga BetPlay

Find value bets for Liga BetPlay fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pasto

high

Wed 1st, 22:10

FT Result

Home

2.55 Fair: 1.99 Kambi Group

+28.14%

Model: 50.1%

HT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.75 Kambi Group

+16.36%

Model: 36.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.44 Fair: 1.27 Bet365

+13.39%

Model: 78.4%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.40 Fair: 1.39 Bet365

+0.72%

Model: 71.7%

Santa Fe vs Llaneros

high

Thu 2nd, 00:30

FT Result

Away

7.40 Fair: 5.49 Betfair Exchange

+34.79%

Model: 18.2%

HT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 5.26 Bet365

+23.57%

Model: 19%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 3.80 Betfair Exchange

+10.53%

Model: 26.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.45 Fair: 2.24 WilliamHill

+9.38%

Model: 44.6%

Atlético Nacional vs Cúcuta Deportivo

high

Thu 2nd, 02:30

FT Result

Away

11.50 Fair: 7.08 Betfair Exchange

+62.43%

Model: 14.1%

HT Result

Away

8.15 Fair: 5.54 1xBet

+47.11%

Model: 18.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.00 Fair: 2.86 Bet365

+39.86%

Model: 35%

FT Result

Draw

6.00 Fair: 4.79 Betfair Exchange

+25.26%

Model: 20.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.63 Bet365

+4.56%

Model: 38.1%

Boyacá Chicó vs Deportivo Pereira

high

Thu 2nd, 20:00

FT Result

Home

2.06 Fair: 1.88 Kambi Group

+9.57%

Model: 53.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.38 Fair: 2.18 Kambi Group

+9.17%

Model: 45.8%

HT Result

Home

2.80 Fair: 2.60 Kambi Group

+7.69%

Model: 38.4%

América de Cali vs Atlético Bucaramanga

high

Thu 2nd, 22:10

FT Result

Home

1.92 Fair: 1.79 Kambi Group

+7.26%

Model: 55.9%

HT Result

Away

5.26 Fair: 5.10 1xBet

+3.14%

Model: 19.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.22 Fair: 1.21 Bet365

+0.83%

Model: 82.6%

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Millonarios

high

Fri 3rd, 00:20

FT Result

Home

4.50 Fair: 2.63 Bet365

+71.1%

Model: 38.1%

HT Result

Home

4.98 Fair: 3.45 1xBet

+44.35%

Model: 29%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.49 Bet365

+27.52%

Model: 67.3%

FT Result

Draw

3.50 Fair: 3.42 Betfair Exchange

+2.34%

Model: 29.2%

Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellín

high

Fri 3rd, 02:30

FT Result

Away

3.85 Fair: 2.96 Pinnacle

+30.07%

Model: 33.8%

HT Result

Away

4.46 Fair: 4.13 1xBet

+7.99%

Model: 24.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.70 Fair: 1.66 Bet365

+2.41%

Model: 60.4%

Fortaleza CEIF vs Internacional de Bogotá

high

Sat 4th, 00:20

FT Result

Home

2.31 Fair: 1.81 Pinnacle

+27.62%

Model: 55.2%

HT Result

Home

2.98 Fair: 2.65 1xBet

+12.45%

Model: 37.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.23 WilliamHill

+5.69%

Model: 81.2%

Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe

high

Sun 5th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

2.22 Fair: 1.90 1xBet

+16.84%

Model: 52.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.25 1xBet

+4%

Model: 79.9%

HT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.82 Kambi Group

+2.84%

Model: 35.4%

Cúcuta Deportivo vs América de Cali

high

Sun 5th, 23:00

FT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 2.46 Kambi Group

+42.28%

Model: 40.7%

Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba

high

Tue 7th, 02:10

FT Result

Away

16.00 Fair: 10.78 Kambi Group

+48.42%

Model: 9.3%

HT Result

Away

8.55 Fair: 6.52 1xBet

+31.13%

Model: 15.3%

FT Result

Draw

7.00 Fair: 5.95 Kambi Group

+17.65%

Model: 16.8%

BTTS

No

1.85 Fair: 1.84 WilliamHill

+0.54%

Model: 54.5%

Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Bucaramanga

high

Tue 7th, 22:00

FT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 2.51 Bet365

+35.46%

Model: 39.8%

HT Result

Home

4.31 Fair: 3.51 1xBet

+22.79%

Model: 28.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.57 Fair: 1.40 Bet365

+12.14%

Model: 71.2%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.