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Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín

Atlético Nacional host Independiente Medellín in the Colombia Copa Colombia on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 02:30. Our model makes Atlético Nacional favourites at 54%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 26 meetings, Atlético Nacional won 8, Independiente Medellín won 6 and 12 were drawn.

Colombia Copa Colombia Save
Atlético Nacional
02:30
15 Oct
Independiente Medellín
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Win probabilities

54%Atlético Nacional 24%Draw 22%Independiente Medellín

Half-time result Pro

  • Atlético Nacional
  • Draw
  • Independiente Medellín

Double chance

  • Atlético Nacional or draw 78%
  • Independiente Medellín or draw 46%
  • Atlético Nacional or Independiente Medellín 76%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Atlético Nacional/Atlético Nacional
  • Atlético Nacional/Draw
  • Atlético Nacional/Independiente Medellín
  • Draw/Atlético Nacional
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Independiente Medellín
  • Independiente Medellín/Atlético Nacional
  • Independiente Medellín/Draw
  • Independiente Medellín/Independiente Medellín
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín team news

Atlético Nacional are without 3 players and Independiente Medellín are without 1 player.

Atlético Nacional 3 out

Alfredo Morelos Muscle Injury · Missed 5 games Injured
Cristian Arango Cruciate Ligament Injury · Missed 3 games Injured
Nicolás Santiago Rodríguez Calderón Knee Injury · Missed 10 games Injured

Independiente Medellín 1 out

Léider Berrío Torn Knee Ligaments · Missed 39 games Injured

Form

Atlético Nacional D W D L W
Independiente Medellín W L D L W
Atlético NacionalIndependiente Medellín
100% Win rate 60%
2.33 Goals scored 1.80
0.00 Goals conceded 0.80
0% Both teams score 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 40%
100% Clean sheets 20%
100% Scored first 60%
0.00 xG for 0.00
0.00 xG against 0.00
11.67 Match corners 11.20

From 3 and 5 matches.

Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín head to head

8 Atlético Nacional wins 12 draws 6 Independiente Medellín wins
2.7 goals per game 58% both teams scored 42% over 2.5 goals
  1. 25 Oct 2026Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 23:10 Independiente Medellín
  2. 15 Oct 2026Copa Colombia Atlético Nacional 02:30 Independiente Medellín
  3. 12 Apr 2026Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 2–3 Atlético Nacional
  4. 18 Dec 2025Copa Colombia Independiente Medellín 0–1 Atlético Nacional
  5. 13 Dec 2025Copa Colombia Atlético Nacional 0–0 Independiente Medellín
  6. 4 Dec 2025Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 2–1 Independiente Medellín
  7. 23 Nov 2025Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 0–0 Atlético Nacional
  8. 26 Oct 2025Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 5–2 Independiente Medellín
  9. 8 Sep 2025Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 3–3 Atlético Nacional
  10. 4 May 2025Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 1–1 Atlético Nacional
  11. 23 Mar 2025Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 1–1 Independiente Medellín
  12. 18 Nov 2024Copa Colombia Independiente Medellín 1–0 Atlético Nacional
  13. 11 Nov 2024Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 1–1 Independiente Medellín
  14. 1 Nov 2024Copa Colombia Atlético Nacional 2–0 Independiente Medellín
  15. 22 Apr 2024Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 2–2 Atlético Nacional
  16. 3 Dec 2023Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 0–5 Independiente Medellín
  17. 19 Nov 2023Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 2–1 Atlético Nacional
  18. 15 Oct 2023Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 1–2 Independiente Medellín
  19. 10 Sep 2023Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 1–0 Atlético Nacional
  20. 30 Apr 2023Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 1–3 Atlético Nacional
  21. 25 Mar 2023Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 1–1 Independiente Medellín
  22. 7 Oct 2022Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 3–2 Independiente Medellín
  23. 5 Sep 2022Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 4–3 Atlético Nacional
  24. 30 Apr 2022Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 0–0 Atlético Nacional
  25. 7 Mar 2022Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 2–0 Independiente Medellín
  26. 14 Nov 2021Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 0–0 Atlético Nacional
  27. 17 Oct 2021Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 1–1 Independiente Medellín
  28. 28 Mar 2021Liga BetPlay Independiente Medellín 0–0 Atlético Nacional