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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Kenya
  3. Premier League
  4. Profit

Betting on Premier League

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Premier League

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Premier League in Kenya has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
441 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-538.1
165/441 won
 37.41% £-1011
83/346 won (23.99%)
Draw £-116.7
148/441 won
 33.56% £-804.9
76/357 won (21.29%)
Away Win £-661.2
128/441 won
 29.02% £-1309.7
64/365 won (17.53%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
441 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-76.6
94/232 won
 40.52% £-354.5
47/178 won (26.4%)
Draw £59.1
81/232 won
 34.91% £-453.5
38/185 won (20.54%)
Away Win £-529.3
57/232 won
 24.57% £-891.9
27/194 won (13.92%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
441 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-461.5
71/209 won
 33.97% £-656.5
36/168 won (21.43%)
Draw £-175.8
67/209 won
 32.06% £-351.4
38/172 won (22.09%)
Away Win £-131.9
71/209 won
 33.97% £-417.8
37/171 won (21.64%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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Free users see Home Win, Draw & Away Win. Pro unlocks BTTS, Over/Under Goals, Half-Time, Double Chance, and more across every league.

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OddAlerts Pro will give you unrestricted access to the profitability of all 2000+ leagues that it supports, as well as live odds comparisons across 20+ bookmakers, alerts on live odds, deep backtesting tools, and much more.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.