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Major League Soccer Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Major League Soccer

Find value bets for Major League Soccer fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Toronto vs Colorado Rapids

good

Sat 4th, 18:00

BTTS

No

2.28 Fair: 2.13 Kambi Group

+7.04%

Model: 46.9%

HT Result

Away

4.09 Fair: 4.00 Pinnacle

+2.25%

Model: 25%

HT Result

Draw

2.40 Fair: 2.38 Pinnacle

+0.84%

Model: 42%

New England vs CF Montréal

good

Sat 4th, 21:30

FT Result

Home

1.98 Fair: 1.86 1xBet

+6.45%

Model: 53.6%

HT Result

Home

2.50 Fair: 2.49 Pinnacle

+0.4%

Model: 40.2%

Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC

good

Sat 4th, 21:30

FT Result

Away

8.57 Fair: 4.89 Pinnacle

+75.26%

Model: 20.5%

HT Result

Away

6.59 Fair: 5.12 Pinnacle

+28.71%

Model: 19.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.80 Fair: 2.45 Kambi Group

+14.29%

Model: 40.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.72 Fair: 1.62 Kambi Group

+6.17%

Model: 61.8%

DC United vs Dallas

good

Sun 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

3.30 Fair: 2.45 Betfair Exchange

+34.69%

Model: 40.8%

HT Result

Away

3.85 Fair: 2.96 Pinnacle

+30.07%

Model: 33.8%

BTTS

No

2.17 Fair: 1.92 Kambi Group

+13.02%

Model: 52.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.66 Fair: 1.47 Bet365

+12.93%

Model: 68%

Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew

good

Sun 5th, 00:30

HT Result

Home

3.48 Fair: 2.91 Pinnacle

+19.59%

Model: 34.3%

FT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.52 1xBet

+19.05%

Model: 39.8%

BTTS

No

2.30 Fair: 2.21 Kambi Group

+4.07%

Model: 45.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.57 Fair: 1.51 Kambi Group

+3.97%

Model: 66.1%

Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union

good

Sun 5th, 00:30

HT Result

Away

3.93 Fair: 3.85 Pinnacle

+2.08%

Model: 26%

FT Result

Home

2.18 Fair: 2.16 Betfair Exchange

+0.93%

Model: 46.3%

FT Result

Away

3.40 Fair: 3.39 Betfair Exchange

+0.29%

Model: 29.5%

New York RB vs Cincinnati

good

Sun 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

3.55 Fair: 3.23 Kambi Group

+9.91%

Model: 31%

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.88 Pinnacle

+3.09%

Model: 25.8%

New York City vs St. Louis City

good

Sun 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

1.73 Fair: 1.64 1xBet

+5.49%

Model: 61%

Inter Miami vs Austin

good

Sun 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

8.60 Fair: 6.83 Betfair Exchange

+25.92%

Model: 14.7%

HT Result

Away

7.11 Fair: 6.23 Pinnacle

+14.13%

Model: 16%

FT Result

Draw

5.60 Fair: 5.43 Betfair Exchange

+3.13%

Model: 18.4%

Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders

good

Sun 5th, 01:30

FT Result

Away

2.87 Fair: 2.58 1xBet

+11.24%

Model: 38.8%

HT Result

Away

3.37 Fair: 3.27 Pinnacle

+3.06%

Model: 30.6%

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC

good

Sun 5th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

2.42 Fair: 2.16 1xBet

+12.04%

Model: 46.3%

HT Result

Home

2.87 Fair: 2.70 Bet365

+6.3%

Model: 37%

Los Angeles FC vs Orlando City

good

Sun 5th, 02:30

HT Result

Away

7.17 Fair: 5.57 Pinnacle

+28.73%

Model: 17.9%

FT Result

Draw

6.34 Fair: 5.10 1xBet

+24.31%

Model: 19.6%

FT Result

Away

9.15 Fair: 7.56 1xBet

+21.03%

Model: 13.2%

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 1.90 Kambi Group

+15.79%

Model: 52.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.40 Fair: 3.04 WilliamHill

+11.84%

Model: 32.9%

HT Result

Draw

3.01 Fair: 2.88 Pinnacle

+4.51%

Model: 34.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers

good

Sun 5th, 03:30

FT Result

Away

8.50 Fair: 5.52 Bet365

+53.99%

Model: 18.1%

HT Result

Away

6.99 Fair: 5.39 Pinnacle

+29.68%

Model: 18.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.30 Fair: 2.61 Kambi Group

+26.44%

Model: 38.3%

FT Result

Draw

5.80 Fair: 4.96 Betfair Exchange

+16.94%

Model: 20.2%

BTTS

No

2.30 Fair: 2.23 WilliamHill

+3.14%

Model: 44.8%

LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United

good

Sun 5th, 03:30

HT Result

Home

2.46 Fair: 2.09 Pinnacle

+17.7%

Model: 47.8%

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.19 Kambi Group

+14.16%

Model: 45.8%

FT Result

Home

1.93 Fair: 1.75 Betfair Exchange

+10.29%

Model: 57.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.27 WilliamHill

+2.36%

Model: 79%

SJ Earthquakes vs San Diego

good

Sun 5th, 03:30

FT Result

Away

2.99 Fair: 2.81 1xBet

+6.41%

Model: 35.7%

Toronto vs Cincinnati

good

Sat 11th, 18:00

HT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 3.42 Bet365

+5.26%

Model: 29.2%

FT Result

Away

3.22 Fair: 3.06 1xBet

+5.23%

Model: 32.7%

CF Montréal vs Philadelphia Union

good

Sat 11th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

2.83 Fair: 2.06 1xBet

+37.38%

Model: 48.6%

Austin vs LA Galaxy

good

Sat 11th, 19:30

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 1.97 Bet365

+14.21%

Model: 50.7%

FT Result

Away

3.37 Fair: 3.13 1xBet

+7.67%

Model: 31.9%

FT Result

Draw

3.76 Fair: 3.68 1xBet

+2.17%

Model: 27.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.72 Fair: 1.69 Bet365

+1.78%

Model: 59.1%

Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC

good

Sat 11th, 21:30

FT Result

Home

4.41 Fair: 3.75 1xBet

+17.6%

Model: 26.7%

FT Result

Draw

4.25 Fair: 4.12 1xBet

+3.16%

Model: 24.3%

Charlotte vs Nashville SC

good

Sun 12th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

2.34 Fair: 2.04 1xBet

+14.71%

Model: 49%

HT Result

Home

2.87 Fair: 2.70 Bet365

+6.3%

Model: 37.1%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City

good

Sun 12th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

4.31 Fair: 3.73 1xBet

+15.55%

Model: 26.8%

New England vs DC United

good

Sun 12th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

2.05 Fair: 1.93 1xBet

+6.22%

Model: 51.9%

Inter Miami vs New York RB

good

Sun 12th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

7.15 Fair: 5.51 1xBet

+29.76%

Model: 18.2%

FT Result

Draw

5.91 Fair: 4.76 1xBet

+24.16%

Model: 21%

Sporting KC vs SJ Earthquakes

good

Sun 12th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

3.47 Fair: 3.25 1xBet

+6.77%

Model: 30.7%

Dallas vs St. Louis City

good

Sun 12th, 01:30

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.20 Bet365

+2.27%

Model: 45.6%

Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United

good

Sun 12th, 01:30

FT Result

Away

5.98 Fair: 5.30 1xBet

+12.83%

Model: 18.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.57 Fair: 4.31 1xBet

+6.03%

Model: 23.2%

Columbus Crew vs Orlando City

good

Mon 13th, 00:00

FT Result

Away

5.72 Fair: 5.56 1xBet

+2.88%

Model: 18%

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake

good

Mon 13th, 02:00

FT Result

Away

5.51 Fair: 4.03 1xBet

+36.72%

Model: 24.8%

FT Result

Draw

4.21 Fair: 4.05 1xBet

+3.95%

Model: 24.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.