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Major League Soccer Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Major League Soccer

Find value bets for Major League Soccer fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

New England vs Toronto

good

Thu 23rd, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.40 Fair: 1.91 Betfair Exchange

+25.65%

Model: 52.2%

FT Result

Home

2.16 Fair: 1.87 Betfair Exchange

+15.51%

Model: 53.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.27 Bet365

+2.36%

Model: 78.8%

HT Result

Home

2.62 Fair: 2.59 Bet365

+1.16%

Model: 38.6%

Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps

good

Thu 23rd, 00:30

FT Result

Home

3.90 Fair: 2.65 Betfair Exchange

+47.17%

Model: 37.8%

BTTS

No

3.20 Fair: 2.62 Betfair Exchange

+22.14%

Model: 38.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.95 Fair: 1.62 WilliamHill

+20.37%

Model: 61.6%

HT Result

Home

3.95 Fair: 3.62 Pinnacle

+9.12%

Model: 27.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.79 Fair: 2.61 Pinnacle

+6.9%

Model: 38.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.30 Fair: 4.20 Betfair Exchange

+2.38%

Model: 23.8%

Philadelphia Union vs New York RB

good

Thu 23rd, 00:30

FT Result

Away

4.47 Fair: 3.41 1xBet

+31.09%

Model: 29.3%

BTTS

No

2.74 Fair: 2.14 Betfair Exchange

+28.04%

Model: 46.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.15 Fair: 1.85 Bet365

+16.22%

Model: 54.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.03 Betfair Exchange

+9.18%

Model: 24.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.69 Fair: 2.67 Pinnacle

+0.75%

Model: 37.5%

Columbus Crew vs New York City

good

Thu 23rd, 00:30

FT Result

Home

2.14 Fair: 1.85 1xBet

+15.68%

Model: 54%

HT Result

Home

2.49 Fair: 2.17 Pinnacle

+14.75%

Model: 46%

BTTS

Yes

1.79 Fair: 1.76 Betfair Exchange

+1.7%

Model: 56.8%

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire

good

Thu 23rd, 00:30

BTTS

No

3.45 Fair: 2.47 Betfair Exchange

+39.68%

Model: 40.5%

HT Result

Home

2.81 Fair: 2.21 Pinnacle

+27.15%

Model: 45.3%

FT Result

Home

2.46 Fair: 1.95 Betfair Exchange

+26.15%

Model: 51.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.50 Fair: 1.33 Bet365

+12.78%

Model: 75%

Charlotte vs Atlanta United

good

Thu 23rd, 01:15

BTTS

No

2.46 Fair: 2.03 Betfair Exchange

+21.18%

Model: 49.4%

FT Result

Home

2.12 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange

+17.78%

Model: 55.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.27 WilliamHill

+2.36%

Model: 79%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.32 Fair: 1.31 Kambi Group

+0.76%

Model: 76.5%

HT Result

Home

2.62 Fair: 2.61 Pinnacle

+0.38%

Model: 38.3%

Houston Dynamo vs DC United

good

Thu 23rd, 01:30

FT Result

Away

4.70 Fair: 4.44 Betfair Exchange

+5.86%

Model: 22.5%

BTTS

No

2.28 Fair: 2.18 Betfair Exchange

+4.59%

Model: 45.8%

Sporting KC vs Minnesota United

good

Thu 23rd, 01:30

BTTS

No

2.64 Fair: 2.28 Betfair Exchange

+15.79%

Model: 43.8%

HT Result

Home

3.91 Fair: 3.43 Pinnacle

+13.99%

Model: 29.2%

FT Result

Home

3.55 Fair: 3.19 Kambi Group

+11.29%

Model: 31.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.83 Fair: 1.75 Kambi Group

+4.57%

Model: 57%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.89 Betfair Exchange

+2.83%

Model: 25.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.56 Fair: 2.52 Pinnacle

+1.59%

Model: 39.7%

Nashville SC vs CF Montréal

good

Thu 23rd, 01:30

FT Result

Away

6.75 Fair: 5.41 Kambi Group

+24.77%

Model: 18.5%

HT Result

Away

5.98 Fair: 5.21 Pinnacle

+14.78%

Model: 19.2%

BTTS

No

2.24 Fair: 1.99 Betfair Exchange

+12.56%

Model: 50.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.60 Fair: 4.27 Betano

+7.73%

Model: 23.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.50 Fair: 2.38 Kambi Group

+5.04%

Model: 41.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.68 Fair: 2.57 Pinnacle

+4.28%

Model: 39%

Colorado Rapids vs San Diego

good

Thu 23rd, 02:30

FT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 2.95 Betfair Exchange

+22.03%

Model: 33.9%

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.77 Betfair Exchange

+4.69%

Model: 36.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.80 Fair: 1.75 Bet365

+2.86%

Model: 57.1%

Austin vs Seattle Sounders

good

Thu 23rd, 02:30

FT Result

Home

3.15 Fair: 2.83 Betfair Exchange

+11.31%

Model: 35.3%

BTTS

No

2.42 Fair: 2.26 Betfair Exchange

+7.08%

Model: 44.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.38 Fair: 2.33 Pinnacle

+2.15%

Model: 42.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.68 Fair: 1.65 Kambi Group

+1.82%

Model: 60.5%

Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake

good

Thu 23rd, 03:30

BTTS

No

2.58 Fair: 1.96 Betfair Exchange

+31.63%

Model: 51%

FT Result

Home

1.81 Fair: 1.68 Betfair Exchange

+7.74%

Model: 59.4%

LA Galaxy vs St. Louis City

good

Thu 23rd, 03:30

BTTS

No

2.62 Fair: 2.12 Betfair Exchange

+23.58%

Model: 47.2%

FT Result

Home

2.14 Fair: 2.04 Betfair Exchange

+4.9%

Model: 49.1%

Portland Timbers vs Dallas

good

Thu 23rd, 03:30

BTTS

No

3.05 Fair: 2.34 Betfair Exchange

+30.34%

Model: 42.7%

FT Result

Home

2.42 Fair: 2.32 Betfair Exchange

+4.31%

Model: 43.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.86 Betfair Exchange

+3.63%

Model: 25.9%

HT Result

Home

2.83 Fair: 2.78 Pinnacle

+1.8%

Model: 35.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.46 Fair: 1.45 Kambi Group

+0.69%

Model: 69%

SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City

good

Thu 23rd, 03:30

FT Result

Away

4.70 Fair: 3.70 Betfair Exchange

+27.03%

Model: 27.1%

BTTS

No

3.05 Fair: 2.63 Betfair Exchange

+15.97%

Model: 38%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 4.19 Betfair Exchange

+14.56%

Model: 23.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.23 Fair: 1.96 Kambi Group

+13.78%

Model: 50.9%

HT Result

Away

4.66 Fair: 4.21 Pinnacle

+10.69%

Model: 23.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.86 Fair: 2.62 Pinnacle

+9.16%

Model: 38.2%

New York RB vs Charlotte

good

Sat 25th, 23:30

BTTS

No

2.63 Fair: 2.44 Kambi Group

+7.79%

Model: 40.9%

HT Result

Home

2.65 Fair: 2.47 Kambi Group

+7.29%

Model: 40.5%

FT Result

Home

2.28 Fair: 2.17 Betfair Exchange

+5.07%

Model: 46.2%

Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

good

Sun 26th, 00:15

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.50 1xBet

+16%

Model: 40%

FT Result

Away

4.25 Fair: 3.95 1xBet

+7.59%

Model: 25.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.35 FanDuel

+1.15%

Model: 23%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.08 Fair: 2.07 Kambi Group

+0.48%

Model: 48.3%

HT Result

Home

2.20 Fair: 2.19 Bet365

+0.46%

Model: 45.7%

CF Montréal vs Inter Miami

good

Sun 26th, 00:30

BTTS

No

3.25 Fair: 2.42 Bet365

+34.3%

Model: 41.3%

FT Result

Away

2.16 Fair: 2.01 Betfair Exchange

+7.46%

Model: 49.6%

Orlando City vs Nashville SC

good

Sun 26th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.60 Fair: 2.27 1xBet

+14.54%

Model: 44%

FT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.89 Kambi Group

+10.73%

Model: 34.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.45 Fair: 2.34 WilliamHill

+4.7%

Model: 42.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.72 Fair: 1.65 Kambi Group

+4.24%

Model: 60.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.95 Fair: 3.84 1xBet

+2.86%

Model: 26.1%

New York City vs Chicago Fire

good

Sun 26th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

2.81 Fair: 2.68 1xBet

+4.85%

Model: 37.4%

HT Result

Home

2.80 Fair: 2.71 Kambi Group

+3.32%

Model: 37%

Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders

good

Sun 26th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.35 Fair: 2.13 Betano

+10.33%

Model: 47%

FT Result

Away

3.06 Fair: 2.88 1xBet

+6.25%

Model: 34.8%

New England vs Atlanta United

good

Sun 26th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

2.02 Fair: 2.01 Betfair Exchange

+0.5%

Model: 49.8%

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 2.19 Kambi Group

+0.46%

Model: 45.6%

DC United vs Toronto

good

Sun 26th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

3.97 Fair: 3.47 1xBet

+14.41%

Model: 28.9%

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 1.93 Betano

+13.99%

Model: 51.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.90 Fair: 1.75 Bet365

+8.57%

Model: 57.1%

FT Result

Draw

3.80 Fair: 3.54 Betfair Exchange

+7.34%

Model: 28.3%

Houston Dynamo vs Austin

good

Sun 26th, 01:30

FT Result

Away

5.87 Fair: 5.48 1xBet

+7.12%

Model: 18.3%

Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps

good

Sun 26th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 2.90 Betano

+17.24%

Model: 34.5%

BTTS

No

2.44 Fair: 2.10 1xBet

+16.19%

Model: 47.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.79 Fair: 1.64 Kambi Group

+9.15%

Model: 61%

FT Result

Draw

3.85 Fair: 3.77 Betfair Exchange

+2.12%

Model: 26.5%

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids

good

Sun 26th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

1.91 Fair: 1.69 Betfair Exchange

+13.02%

Model: 59.2%

HT Result

Home

2.40 Fair: 2.14 Bet365

+12.15%

Model: 46.7%

BTTS

No

2.40 Fair: 2.28 Betano

+5.26%

Model: 43.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.25 Fair: 1.23 Bet365

+1.63%

Model: 81%

San Diego vs Dallas

good

Sun 26th, 02:30

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.53 1xBet

+14.62%

Model: 39.6%

HT Result

Home

2.50 Fair: 2.42 Bet365

+3.31%

Model: 41.3%

SJ Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy

good

Sun 26th, 03:30

FT Result

Away

4.57 Fair: 3.08 1xBet

+48.38%

Model: 32.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.12 Fair: 1.77 Kambi Group

+19.77%

Model: 56.6%

HT Result

Away

4.10 Fair: 3.51 Kambi Group

+16.81%

Model: 28.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.13 FanDuel

+6.54%

Model: 24.2%

BTTS

No

2.65 Fair: 2.57 Kambi Group

+3.11%

Model: 38.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.60 Fair: 2.56 Kambi Group

+1.56%

Model: 39.1%

Los Angeles FC vs Sporting KC

good

Sun 26th, 03:30

FT Result

Away

15.00 Fair: 9.12 1xBet

+64.47%

Model: 11%

FT Result

Draw

8.05 Fair: 5.67 1xBet

+41.98%

Model: 17.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.60 Fair: 3.50 WilliamHill

+31.43%

Model: 28.6%

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 1.84 Kambi Group

+14.13%

Model: 54.4%

HT Result

Draw

3.25 Fair: 2.99 Kambi Group

+8.7%

Model: 33.5%

HT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 7.99 Kambi Group

+0.13%

Model: 12.5%

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake

good

Sun 26th, 03:30

BTTS

No

2.89 Fair: 2.25 1xBet

+28.44%

Model: 44.4%

FT Result

Home

2.43 Fair: 2.11 1xBet

+15.17%

Model: 47.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.44 Fair: 1.39 Bet365

+3.6%

Model: 72%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.