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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

Kilmarnock host Aberdeen in the Scotland Premiership on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our model makes Kilmarnock favourites at 47%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 19 meetings, Aberdeen won 11, Kilmarnock won 6 and 2 were drawn.

Scotland Premiership Save
Kilmarnock
15:00
21 Nov
Aberdeen
Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen preview

Kilmarnock have scored 1.17 goals a game and conceded 2.50 across their last 6 home games in the Premiership this season, while Aberdeen have scored 1.40 and conceded 1.80 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Kilmarnock's last 6 home games and 2 of Aberdeen's last 5 away games. Kilmarnock have won 1 of their last 6 home games and Aberdeen 1 of their last 5 away games. Kilmarnock's last 6 home games have averaged 9.7 corners and Aberdeen's last 5 away games 12.4. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:30 UK.

  • Goals scored Kilmarnock: 1.17 Aberdeen: 1.40
  • Goals conceded Kilmarnock: 2.50 Aberdeen: 1.80
  • Both teams scored Kilmarnock: 4 of 667% Aberdeen: 2 of 540%
  • Over 2.5 goals Kilmarnock: 4 of 667% Aberdeen: 3 of 560%
  • Match corners Kilmarnock: 9.67 Aberdeen: 12.40
  • Match cards Kilmarnock: 3.50 Aberdeen: 3.20

Kilmarnock's last 6 home games and Aberdeen's last 5 away games in the Premiership this season.

Win probabilities

47%Kilmarnock 26%Draw 27%Aberdeen

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: questions and answers

When is Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Premiership, at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.

Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Kilmarnock a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aberdeen 27%.

How many goals do Kilmarnock and Aberdeen games have?

Kilmarnock have scored 1.17 goals a game and conceded 2.50 across their last 6 home games in the Premiership this season, while Aberdeen have scored 1.40 and conceded 1.80 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Kilmarnock's last 6 home games and 2 of Aberdeen's last 5 away games.

Where are Kilmarnock and Aberdeen in the Premiership table?

Kilmarnock are 12th with 9 points from 13 games. Aberdeen are 11th with 11 points from 12 games.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen stats

Kilmarnock1W 2D 3L · 6 home games
Aberdeen1W 1D 3L · 5 away games
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen general stats: Kilmarnock's last 6 home games and Aberdeen's last 5 away games in the Premiership this season
KilmarnockStatAberdeen
Match outcomes
1 of 617% Win 1 of 520%
2 of 633% Draw 1 of 520%
3 of 650% Loss 3 of 560%
5 Points 4
0.83 Points per game 0.80
-8 Goal difference -2
Expected goals
1.43 xG per game 1.16
2.78 xGA per game 1.76
-1.58 xG performance 1.18
Possession & attacks
47% Possession 44%
41.67 Dangerous attacks 37.40
41.17 Dangerous attacks against 63.00
Shots
12.67 Shots for 11.60
17.17 Shots against 16.60
4.00 On target for 2.80
6.33 On target against 6.40
9% Shot conversion 12%
32% On-target accuracy 24%
Tackles & fouls
15.17 Tackles 16.80
11.17 Fouls committed 8.60
11.50 Fouls won 9.80
1.17 Offsides 2.20

Kilmarnock's last 6 home games and Aberdeen's last 5 away games in the Premiership this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:30 UK.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Aberdeen Ayoub Mouloua 1.22
  2. 2 Kilmarnock Ieuan Owen 1.05
  3. 3 Aberdeen Kevin Nisbet 1.01
  4. 4 Kilmarnock Joe Hugill 0.95
  5. 5 Kilmarnock Tyreece John-Jules 0.82

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Greg Kiltie in 13 games 3goals
Kevin Nisbet in 12 games 4goals
Top creator
Joe Hugill in 13 games 2assists
Kevin Nisbet in 12 games 3assists

Players in form

  1. Greg Kiltie Winger · Kilmarnock 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    0
    • Key passes2.46 per 90 Top 8%
    • Final third5.42 per 90 Top 8%
    • Crosses1.45 per 90 Top 10%
  2. Maksymilian Stryjek Goalkeeper · Kilmarnock 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries10.26 per 90 Top 9%
    • Saves3.83 per 90 Top 11%
    • Touches43.68 per 90 Top 26%
  3. Callum Ferie Goalkeeper · Kilmarnock 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Saves4.10 per 90 Top 5%
    • Aerials0.59 per 90 Top 10%
    • Recoveries10.13 per 90 Top 18%
  4. Marius Müller Goalkeeper · Aberdeen 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Touches46.14 per 90 Top 17%
    • Recoveries9.42 per 90 Top 21%
    • Passes34.62 per 90 Top 22%
  5. Tyreece John-Jules Attacking midfielder · Kilmarnock 6.95 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.50 per 90 Top 4%
    • Duels won7.16 per 90 Top 6%
    • Shots3.26 per 90 Top 10%
  6. Connor Ronan Attacking midfielder · Aberdeen 6.91 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    2
    • Final third9.15 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %84% per 90 Top 18%
    • Key passes2.34 per 90 Top 25%
  7. Brad Lyons Defensive midfielder · Aberdeen 6.89 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials2.88 per 90 Top 4%
    • Duels won6.87 per 90 Top 7%
    • Duel %59% per 90 Top 15%
  8. Kevin Nisbet Striker · Aberdeen 6.88 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    3
    • Assists0.20 per 90 Top 20%
    • xG0.50 per 90 Top 21%
  9. Stuart Armstrong Central midfielder · Aberdeen 6.87 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Key passes2.99 per 90 Top 3%
    • Big chances0.39 per 90 Top 8%
    • Recoveries5.82 per 90 Top 17%
  10. Gavin Molloy Centre-back · Aberdeen 6.87 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Final third8.69 per 90 Top 11%
    • Interceptions1.69 per 90 Top 17%
    • Aerials2.72 per 90 Top 28%
  11. Robbie Deas Centre-back · Kilmarnock 6.84 Form rating
    Apps
    3
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Final third9.76 per 90 Top 5%
    • Clearances7.86 per 90 Top 5%
    • Aerials3.87 per 90 Top 7%
  12. Joe Hugill Striker · Kilmarnock 6.83 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    2
    • xG/shot0.18 per 90 Top 19%
    • Assists0.19 per 90 Top 22%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen form

Kilmarnock All venues
1 W · 1 D · 3 L
Points per game
0.80
Scored per game
1.2
Conceded per game
2.2
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Premiership A Celtic 0–1 defeat xG 1.7–2.2
  2. Premiership H St. Johnstone 2–2 draw xG 3.2–1.0
  3. Premiership A Dundee 1–3 defeat xG 2.8–1.8
  4. Premiership A Falkirk 0–3 defeat xG 1.8–1.9
  5. Premiership H Motherwell 3–2 win xG 1.9–3.3
Aberdeen All venues
1 W · 0 D · 4 L
Points per game
0.60
Scored per game
1.0
Conceded per game
2.0
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Premiership H Hibernian 0–4 defeat xG 1.4–2.4
  2. League Cup A Rangers 0–1 defeat
  3. Premiership H Falkirk 0–1 defeat xG 1.7–1.2
  4. Premiership A Dundee United 2–3 defeat xG 2.1–2.1
  5. Premiership H St. Mirren 3–1 win xG 2.4–1.4

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock head to head

11 Aberdeen wins 2 draws 6 Kilmarnock wins
2.1 goals per game 26% both teams scored 32% over 2.5 goals
  1. 10 Apr 2027Premiership Aberdeen 15:00 Kilmarnock
  2. 21 Nov 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 15:00 Aberdeen
  3. 12 Sep 2026League Cup Kilmarnock 1–1Pens Aberdeen
  4. 5 Sep 2026Premiership Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock
  5. 25 Apr 2026Premiership Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
  6. 31 Jan 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 3–0 Aberdeen
  7. 14 Dec 2025Premiership Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock
  8. 29 Oct 2025Premiership Kilmarnock 0–1 Aberdeen
  9. 22 Feb 2025Premiership Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
  10. 26 Dec 2024Premiership Kilmarnock 4–0 Aberdeen
  11. 25 Aug 2024Premiership Aberdeen 2–0 Kilmarnock
  12. 9 Mar 2024Scottish Cup Aberdeen 3–1 Kilmarnock
  13. 24 Feb 2024Premiership Kilmarnock 2–0 Aberdeen
  14. 6 Dec 2023Premiership Aberdeen 0–1 Kilmarnock
  15. 29 Oct 2023Premiership Kilmarnock 2–0 Aberdeen
  16. 8 Apr 2023Premiership Aberdeen 2–0 Kilmarnock
  17. 28 Dec 2022Premiership Kilmarnock 2–1 Aberdeen
  18. 1 Oct 2022Premiership Aberdeen 4–1 Kilmarnock
  19. 20 Feb 2021Premiership Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
  20. 20 Dec 2020Premiership Kilmarnock 0–2 Aberdeen
  21. 12 Sep 2020Premiership Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen standings

Premiership table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Celtic 1310122810 +18 31
2 Rangers 12831219 +12 27
3 Falkirk 136342014 +6 21
4 Hearts 126242622 +4 20
5 Dundee 125251815 +3 17
6 Dundee United 124531717 0 17
7 St. Johnstone 134541720 -3 17
8 St. Mirren 134271222 -10 14
9 Motherwell 133461521 -6 13
10 Hibernian 123271517 -2 11
11 Aberdeen 123271218 -6 11
12 Kilmarnock 132381329 -16 9
  • Kilmarnock
  • Aberdeen
Full Premiership table

Premiership 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:30 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen odds

Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Kilmarnock 2.71Pinnacle Drifted 2%from 2.66 47%
Draw 3.55Betano Shortened 7%from 3.80 26%
Aberdeen 2.56Pinnacle Drifted 2%from 2.50 27%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Kilmarnock or Draw 1.53Bet365 Shortened 11%from 1.72 73%
Draw or Aberdeen 1.50Bet365 Drifted 10%from 1.36 53%
Kilmarnock or Aberdeen 1.28Bet365 No changefrom 1.28 74%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Kilmarnock 1.83Bet365 Shortened 19%from 2.25 64%
Aberdeen 1.83Bet365 Drifted 17%from 1.57 36%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.61Bet365 Drifted 5%from 1.53 55%
BTTS No 2.351xBet Shortened 1%from 2.37 46%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.22Bet365 Drifted 2%from 1.20 75%
Under 1.5 4.33Bet365 Shortened 4%from 4.50 25%
Over 2.5 1.72Bet365 Drifted 8%from 1.60 50%
Under 2.5 2.141xBet Shortened 5%from 2.25 50%
Over 3.5 2.75Bet365 Drifted 10%from 2.50 29%
Under 3.5 1.44Bet365 Shortened 6%from 1.53 71%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Kilmarnock 3.10Bet365 Shortened 14%from 3.60 –
Draw 2.30Bet365 Shortened 3%from 2.37 –
Aberdeen 3.10Bet365 Drifted 18%from 2.62 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 20:20. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

47%Kilmarnock 26%Draw 27%Aberdeen
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.