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AEK Athens vs Real Madrid

AEK Athens host Real Madrid in the Europe Champions League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 17:45. Our model makes Real Madrid favourites at 40%, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Europe Champions League Save
AEK Athens
17:45
4 Nov
Real Madrid
OPAP Arena, Greece Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Win probabilities

37%AEK Athens 23%Draw 40%Real Madrid

Half-time result Pro

  • AEK Athens
  • Draw
  • Real Madrid

Double chance

  • AEK Athens or draw 61%
  • Real Madrid or draw 63%
  • AEK Athens or Real Madrid 77%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • AEK Athens/AEK Athens
  • AEK Athens/Draw
  • AEK Athens/Real Madrid
  • Draw/AEK Athens
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid/AEK Athens
  • Real Madrid/Draw
  • Real Madrid/Real Madrid
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid lineups

Predicted

AEK Athens 4-4-2

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid team news

AEK Athens are without 6 players and Real Madrid are without 3 players.

AEK Athens 6 out

Martin Georgiev No Eligibility · Missed 11 games · Out until 31 Jan 2027 Suspended
Christos Alexiou No Eligibility · Missed 11 games · Out until 31 Jan 2027 Suspended
Dereck Kutesa No Eligibility · Missed 11 games · Out until 31 Jan 2027 Suspended
Hakim Sahabo No Eligibility · Missed 11 games · Out until 31 Jan 2027 Suspended
Frantzdy Pierrot No Eligibility · Missed 11 games · Out until 31 Jan 2027 Suspended
Thomas Strakosha Broken Hand · Missed 4 games Injured

Real Madrid 3 out

Rodrygo Cruciate Ligament Tear · Missed 35 games · Out until 31 Dec 2026 Injured
Ferland Mendy Tendon Rupture · Missed 24 games · Out until 16 Nov 2026 Injured
Raúl Asencio Fatigue Fracture · Missed 6 games · Out until 1 Jan 2027 Injured

Form

AEK Athens L L W L L
Real Madrid W W W W W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

AEK AthensReal Madrid
40% Win rate 100%
1.40 Goals scored 3.33
1.60 Goals conceded 1.67
40% Both teams score 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 100%
60% Clean sheets 0%
60% Scored first 67%
1.45 xG for 2.91
1.21 xG against 1.51
8.00 Match corners 12.33

Champions League matches only, before kick-off: 5 for AEK Athens and 3 for Real Madrid.