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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AEK Athens vs Real Madrid 100,000 times. Real Madrid won 75,577 of them (75.6%), the draw came up 14% of the time and AEK Athens won 10.5%. The most likely score is 0-2 (9%), and both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.
| AEK Athens win | 10.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14% |
| Real Madrid win | 75.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.96 – 2.83 |
| Both teams to score | 57.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 52.1% |
| AEK Athens score first | 28.9% |
| Real Madrid score first | 68.7% |
| AEK Athens clean sheet | 6.3% |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 38.5% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684494 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Madrid are favourites. They win 75.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14% for the draw and 10.5% for AEK Athens. Including the draw, Real Madrid avoid defeat 89.5% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-3 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. AEK Athens keep a clean sheet 6.3% of the time and Real Madrid 38.5%.
The simulations average 3.79 goals: 0.96 for AEK Athens and 2.83 for Real Madrid. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.4% and over 3.5 goals 52.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.