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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Barcelona vs Aston Villa 100,000 times. FC Barcelona won 75,160 of them (75.2%), the draw came up 13.5% of the time and Aston Villa won 11.4%. The most likely score is 3-1 (7.9%), and both teams score in 66% of simulations.
| FC Barcelona win | 75.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.5% |
| Aston Villa win | 11.4% |
| Most likely score | 3-1 (7.9%) |
| Expected goals | 3.13 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 62.2% |
| FC Barcelona score first | 69.7% |
| Aston Villa score first | 28.9% |
| FC Barcelona clean sheet | 30.8% |
| Aston Villa clean sheet | 4.7% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Bodø / Glimt
LOSC Lille
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673876 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Barcelona are favourites. They win 75.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.5% for the draw and 11.4% for Aston Villa. Including the draw, FC Barcelona avoid defeat 88.6% of the time.
3-1, which came up in 7.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (7.7%) and 3-0 (6.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66% of simulations. FC Barcelona keep a clean sheet 30.8% of the time and Aston Villa 4.7%.
The simulations average 4.32 goals: 3.13 for FC Barcelona and 1.19 for Aston Villa. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 79.9% and over 3.5 goals 62.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.