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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain 100,000 times. Paris Saint Germain won 55,678 of them (55.7%), the draw came up 21.2% of the time and Villarreal won 23.1%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.9%), and both teams score in 68.4% of simulations.
| Villarreal win | 23.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% |
| Paris Saint Germain win | 55.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.43 – 2.28 |
| Both teams to score | 68.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.6% |
| Villarreal score first | 36.8% |
| Paris Saint Germain score first | 59.8% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 10.7% |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 24.3% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Bodø / Glimt
LOSC Lille
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673920 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris Saint Germain are favourites. They win 55.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.2% for the draw and 23.1% for Villarreal. Including the draw, Paris Saint Germain avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.7%) and 1-3 (6.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.4% of simulations. Villarreal keep a clean sheet 10.7% of the time and Paris Saint Germain 24.3%.
The simulations average 3.71 goals: 1.43 for Villarreal and 2.28 for Paris Saint Germain. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.2% and over 3.5 goals 50.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.