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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Manchester United vs Roma 100,000 times. Manchester United won 41,065 of them (41.1%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Roma won 35.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Manchester United win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations.
| Manchester United win | 41.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Roma win | 35.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 64.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Manchester United score first | 47.2% |
| Roma score first | 48.6% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 21.4% |
| Roma clean sheet | 18.7% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Bodø / Glimt
LOSC Lille
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673901 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Manchester United are favourites. They win 41.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 35.3% for Roma. Including the draw, Manchester United avoid defeat 64.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations. Manchester United keep a clean sheet 21.4% of the time and Roma 18.7%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.70 for Manchester United and 1.56 for Roma. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.