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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München 100,000 times. FC Bayern München won 38,118 of them (38.1%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Atlético de Madrid won 37.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest FC Bayern München win is 1-2 (8.1%). Both teams score in 66.4% of simulations.
| Atlético de Madrid win | 37.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| FC Bayern München win | 38.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.69 |
| Both teams to score | 66.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.1% |
| Atlético de Madrid score first | 54% |
| FC Bayern München score first | 41.4% |
| Atlético de Madrid clean sheet | 18.9% |
| FC Bayern München clean sheet | 19.3% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
1.3–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Bodø / Glimt
LOSC Lille
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673893 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Bayern München are favourites. They win 38.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 37.3% for Atlético de Madrid. Including the draw, FC Bayern München avoid defeat 62.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest FC Bayern München win is 1-2 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.4% of simulations. Atlético de Madrid keep a clean sheet 18.9% of the time and FC Bayern München 19.3%.
The simulations average 3.35 goals: 1.67 for Atlético de Madrid and 1.69 for FC Bayern München. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.8% and over 3.5 goals 43.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.