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Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München

Atlético de Madrid host FC Bayern München in the Europe Champions League on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes FC Bayern München favourites at 44%, with a 22% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Atlético de Madrid won 0, FC Bayern München won 1 and 1 was drawn.

Europe Champions League Save
Atlético de Madrid
20:00
3 Nov
FC Bayern München
Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid Referee: François Letexier

Win probabilities

35%Atlético de Madrid 22%Draw 44%FC Bayern München
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München lineups

Predicted

Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München team news

Atlético de Madrid are without 1 player and FC Bayern München are without 5 players.

Atlético de Madrid 1 out

Koke Muscle Injury · Missed 4 games · Out until 9 Nov 2026 Injured

FC Bayern München 5 out

Luis Díaz Torn Muscle Bundle · Missed 3 games · Out until 30 Nov 2026 Injured
Manuel Neuer Foot Injury · Missed 3 games · Out until 4 Nov 2026 Injured
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Appendectomy · Missed 3 games Injured
Ismael Saibari Syndesmotic Ligament Tear · Missed 1 game Injured
Serge Gnabry Hamstring Injury · Missed 1 game · Out until 31 Dec 2026 Injured

Form

Atlético de Madrid W W D W W
FC Bayern München D W W D W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

Atlético de MadridFC Bayern München
33% Win rate 33%
1.33 Goals scored 3.33
1.00 Goals conceded 1.67
67% Both teams score 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 100%
33% Clean sheets 33%
67% Scored first 33%
0.94 xG for 2.75
1.28 xG against 1.05
10.67 Match corners 13.00

Champions League matches only, before kick-off: 3 each.

Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München head to head

0 Atlético de Madrid wins 1 draws 1 FC Bayern München wins
3.0 goals per game 50% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 3 Nov 2026Champions League Atlético de Madrid 20:00 FC Bayern München
  2. 1 Dec 2020Champions League Atlético Madrid 1–1 FC Bayern München
  3. 21 Oct 2020Champions League Bayern München 4–0 Atlético Madrid