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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP 100,000 times. Sporting CP won 44,987 of them (45%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Shakhtar Donetsk won 29.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Sporting CP win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | 29.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Sporting CP win | 45% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 1.62 |
| Both teams to score | 57.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.5% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk score first | 42.1% |
| Sporting CP score first | 51.4% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet | 20.3% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 28.8% |
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
FC Barcelona
Aston Villa
3.1–1.2
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
FC Bayern München
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Manchester United
Roma
1.7–1.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Paris Saint Germain
1.4–2.3
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Feyenoord
Inter
1.5–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
LASK
Slovan Bratislava
2.6–1.2
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Bodø / Glimt
LOSC Lille
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684491 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sporting CP are favourites. They win 45% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 29.2% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Including the draw, Sporting CP avoid defeat 70.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Sporting CP win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. Shakhtar Donetsk keep a clean sheet 20.3% of the time and Sporting CP 28.8%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.26 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.62 for Sporting CP. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.5% and over 3.5 goals 32.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.