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Ajax vs Thun

Ajax host Thun in the Europe Europa Conference League on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 17:45. Our model makes Ajax favourites at 67%, with a 17% chance of a draw.

Europe Europa Conference League Save
Ajax
17:45
26 Nov
Thun
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Ajax vs Thun preview

Ajax have scored 2.60 goals a game and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Thun have scored 2.50 and conceded 2.80 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 8 of Ajax's last 10 home games and 7 of Thun's last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 9 of Thun's last 10 away games. Ajax have scored first in 8 of their last 10 home games. Ajax's last 10 home games have averaged 10.1 corners and Thun's last 10 away games 9.0. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:21 UK.

  • Goals scored Ajax: 2.60 Thun: 2.50
  • Goals conceded Ajax: 1.40 Thun: 2.80
  • Both teams scored Ajax: 8 of 1080% Thun: 7 of 1070%
  • Over 2.5 goals Ajax: 7 of 1070% Thun: 9 of 1090%
  • Match corners Ajax: 10.10 Thun: 9.00
  • Match cards Ajax: 3.40 Thun: 3.60

Ajax's last 10 home games and Thun's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

67%Ajax 17%Draw 16%Thun

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Ajax vs Thun: questions and answers

When is Ajax vs Thun?

Ajax vs Thun kicks off at 17:45 UK time on Thursday 26 November 2026 in the Europa Conference League, at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.

Who is the favourite in Ajax vs Thun?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Ajax a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Thun 16%.

How many goals do Ajax and Thun games have?

Ajax have scored 2.60 goals a game and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Thun have scored 2.50 and conceded 2.80 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 8 of Ajax's last 10 home games and 7 of Thun's last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 9 of Thun's last 10 away games.

Where are Ajax and Thun in the Europa Conference League table?

Ajax are 11th with 6 points from 3 games. Thun are 20th with 3 points from 3 games.

Ajax vs Thun stats

Ajax6W 3D 1L · 10 home games
Thun4W 1D 5L · 10 away games
Ajax vs Thun general stats: Ajax's last 10 home games and Thun's last 10 away games in all competitions
AjaxStatThun
Match outcomes
6 of 1060% Win 4 of 1040%
3 of 1030% Draw 1 of 1010%
1 of 1010% Loss 5 of 1050%
21 Points 13
2.10 Points per game 1.30
12 Goal difference -3
Expected goals
2.75 xG per game 1.07
1.17 xGA per game 1.64
-1.53 xG performance 14.30
Possession & attacks
63% Possession 41%
76.20 Dangerous attacks 46.00
32.50 Dangerous attacks against 50.10
Shots
24.10 Shots for 11.30
10.30 Shots against 15.50
8.10 On target for 4.20
3.60 On target against 5.80
11% Shot conversion 22%
34% On-target accuracy 37%
Tackles & fouls
13.30 Tackles 14.10
9.90 Fouls committed 8.20
7.90 Fouls won 13.80
1.70 Offsides 1.00

Ajax's last 10 home games and Thun's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:21 UK.

Ajax vs Thun lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Ajax vs Thun players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Ajax Tolu Arokodare 1.94
  2. 2 Ajax Marcos Leonardo 1.47
  3. 3 Ajax Abdellah Ouazane 1.43
  4. 4 Thun Nils Reichmuth 1.35
  5. 5 Ajax Steven Berghuis 1.32

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Tolu Arokodare in 11 games 7goals
Nils Reichmuth in 13 games 3goals
Top creator
Oscar Gloukh in 12 games 6assists
Furkan Dursun in 10 games 4assists

Players in form

  1. Oscar Gloukh Winger · Ajax 7.52 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    6
    • Assists0.82 per 90 Top 1%
    • Key passes3.07 per 90 Top 4%
    • Big chances0.77 per 90 Top 4%
  2. Steven Berghuis Winger · Ajax 7.44 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Key passes3.77 per 90 Top 2%
    • Assists0.51 per 90 Top 4%
    • Shots3.65 per 90 Top 5%
  3. Tolu Arokodare Striker · Ajax 7.41 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    7
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals1.22 per 90 Top 1%
    • Finishing+0.53 per 90 Top 2%
    • On target1.94 per 90 Top 4%
  4. Julian Brandt Central midfielder · Ajax 7.35 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    6
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes3.67 per 90 Top 1%
    • G+A0.78 per 90 Top 4%
    • Shots2.13 per 90 Top 9%
  5. Anton Gaaei Full-back · Ajax 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.13 per 90 Top 5%
    • Key passes1.72 per 90 Top 6%
    • Crosses1.24 per 90 Top 10%
  6. Youri Baas Centre-back · Ajax 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Passes81.39 per 90 Top 3%
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third10.90 per 90 Top 4%
  7. Nils Reichmuth Winger · Thun 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    1
    • Shots3.49 per 90 Top 5%
    • Tackles2.42 per 90 Top 5%
    • Final third5.00 per 90 Top 12%
  8. Furkan Dursun Striker · Thun 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    4
    • Finishing+0.19 per 90 Top 12%
    • Assists0.27 per 90 Top 13%
    • Key passes1.54 per 90 Top 15%
  9. Fabio Saiz Central midfielder · Thun 6.91 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    1
    • G+A0.47 per 90 Top 8%
    • Shots2.07 per 90 Top 10%
    • Interceptions1.66 per 90 Top 11%
  10. Fabio Fehr Full-back · Thun 6.86 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Assists0.31 per 90 Top 4%
    • Tackles3.41 per 90 Top 4%
    • xG0.12 per 90 Top 5%
  11. Nassim Zoukit Central midfielder · Thun 6.79 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Tackles3.09 per 90 Top 7%
    • Final third9.23 per 90 Top 12%
    • Recoveries5.80 per 90 Top 18%
  12. Mattias Käit Central midfielder · Thun 6.77 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions2.00 per 90 Top 5%
    • Recoveries6.10 per 90 Top 11%
    • Ball security8.08 per 90 Top 13%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Ajax vs Thun form

Ajax All venues
4 W · 1 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.60
Scored per game
2.6
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Eredivisie A FC Twente 2–2 draw xG 0.6–2.8
  2. Europa Conference League A FC Midtjylland 6–1 win xG 3.3–1.5
  3. Eredivisie H AZ Alkmaar 1–0 win xG 0.8–1.5
  4. Eredivisie A Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 win xG 1.5–1.1
  5. Europa Conference League H Atalanta 2–0 win xG 1.8–1.5
Thun All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
2.6
Conceded per game
2.4
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Super League H Basel 3–3 draw xG 1.3–1.8
  2. Europa Conference League H Hearts 3–1 win xG 2.2–1.3
  3. Super League A Lausanne Sport 5–4 win xG 2.9–1.9
  4. Super League H Lugano 2–3 defeat xG 2.5–2.0
  5. Europa Conference League H Hajduk Split 0–1 defeat xG 1.6–1.2

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Ajax vs Thun standings

Europa Conference League table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Lugano 3300114 +7 9
2 Panathinaikos 330093 +6 9
3 FC Twente 330082 +6 9
4 Monaco 330071 +6 9
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 321050 +5 7
6 Brann 321073 +4 7
7 FC København 321073 +4 7
8 Universitatea Craiova 321062 +4 7
9 Mjällby 321051 +4 7
10 Sint-Truiden 321041 +3 7
11 Ajax 320193 +6 6
12 Trabzonspor 320163 +3 6
13 Hajduk Split 320132 +1 6
14 SC Freiburg 320145 -1 6
15 Crvena Zvezda 311166 0 4
16 Atalanta 311144 0 4
17 Sporting Braga 311123 -1 4
18 Gent 311112 -1 4
19 Riga 303033 0 3
20 Thun 310233 0 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 310234 -1 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 310236 -3 3
23 Jablonec 302134 -1 2
24 AGF 302112 -1 2
25 Nordsjælland 302135 -2 2
26 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 302124 -2 2
27 Kairat 302137 -4 2
28 CSKA Sofia 301246 -2 1
29 FC Iberia 1999 301225 -3 1
30 Pafos FC 301237 -4 1
31 Getafe 301237 -4 1
32 Hearts 301226 -4 1
33 KuPS 301226 -4 1
34 FC Midtjylland 301228 -6 1
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 300327 -5 0
36 Kauno Žalgiris 3003111 -10 0
  • Ajax
  • Thun
Full Europa Conference League table

Europa Conference League 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:56 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Ajax vs Thun odds

Best price across 2 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Ajax 1.26Betano Drifted 2%from 1.24 67%
Draw 6.811xBet No changefrom 6.81 17%
Thun 16.001xBet No changefrom 16.00 16%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 2.371xBet No changefrom 2.37 59%
BTTS No 1.67Betano Drifted 4%from 1.60 41%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.19Betano Shortened 1%from 1.20 86%
Under 1.5 4.50Betano Drifted 2%from 4.40 15%
Over 2.5 1.60Betano No changefrom 1.60 67%
Under 2.5 2.32Betano Drifted 1%from 2.30 33%
Over 3.5 2.481xBet No changefrom 2.48 46%
Under 3.5 1.55Betano Drifted 1%from 1.53 55%

Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 15:16. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

67%Ajax 17%Draw 16%Thun
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.