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Arsenal vs Real Madrid

Arsenal host Real Madrid in the Europe Champions League on Wednesday 9 December 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Arsenal favourites at 40%, with a 22% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 2, Real Madrid won 0 and 0 were drawn.

Europe Champions League Save
Arsenal
20:00
9 Dec
Real Madrid
Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal vs Real Madrid preview

Arsenal have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 0.50 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Real Madrid have scored 2.20 and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Arsenal's last 10 home games and 6 of Real Madrid's last 10 away games. Arsenal have won 9 of their last 10 home games and Real Madrid 8 of their last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 away games. Arsenal's last 10 home games have averaged 8.7 corners and Real Madrid's last 10 away games 9.3. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:34 UK.

  • Goals scored Arsenal: 2.00 Real Madrid: 2.20
  • Goals conceded Arsenal: 0.50 Real Madrid: 1.20
  • Both teams scored Arsenal: 3 of 1030% Real Madrid: 6 of 1060%
  • Over 2.5 goals Arsenal: 6 of 1060% Real Madrid: 8 of 1080%
  • Match corners Arsenal: 8.70 Real Madrid: 9.30
  • Match cards Arsenal: 3.70 Real Madrid: 4.80

Arsenal's last 10 home games and Real Madrid's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

40%Arsenal 22%Draw 39%Real Madrid

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Arsenal vs Real Madrid: questions and answers

When is Arsenal vs Real Madrid?

Arsenal vs Real Madrid kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Wednesday 9 December 2026 in the Champions League, at Emirates Stadium, London.

Who is the favourite in Arsenal vs Real Madrid?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Arsenal a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Madrid 39%.

How many goals do Arsenal and Real Madrid games have?

Arsenal have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 0.50 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Real Madrid have scored 2.20 and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Arsenal's last 10 home games and 6 of Real Madrid's last 10 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 away games.

Where are Arsenal and Real Madrid in the Champions League table?

Arsenal are 3rd with 10 points from 4 games. Real Madrid are 2nd with 12 points from 4 games.

Arsenal vs Real Madrid stats

Arsenal9W 0D 1L · 10 home games
Real Madrid8W 0D 2L · 10 away games
Arsenal vs Real Madrid general stats: Arsenal's last 10 home games and Real Madrid's last 10 away games in all competitions
ArsenalStatReal Madrid
Match outcomes
9 of 1090% Win 8 of 1080%
0 of 100% Draw 0 of 100%
1 of 1010% Loss 2 of 1020%
27 Points 24
2.70 Points per game 2.40
15 Goal difference 10
Expected goals
1.51 xG per game 2.17
0.40 xGA per game 1.24
4.90 xG performance 0.25
Possession & attacks
57% Possession 54%
63.70 Dangerous attacks 55.80
29.70 Dangerous attacks against 43.20
Shots
15.60 Shots for 17.20
8.00 Shots against 11.60
6.10 On target for 6.30
2.60 On target against 4.70
13% Shot conversion 13%
39% On-target accuracy 37%
Tackles & fouls
12.60 Tackles 16.00
14.20 Fouls committed 16.30
11.10 Fouls won 9.50
3.30 Offsides 2.50

Arsenal's last 10 home games and Real Madrid's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:34 UK.

Arsenal vs Real Madrid lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Arsenal vs Real Madrid players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Real Madrid Kylian Mbappé 2.65
  2. 2 Real Madrid Endrick 1.82
  3. 3 Real Madrid Arda Güler 1.63
  4. 4 Arsenal Mikel Merino 1.53
  5. 5 Arsenal Bukayo Saka 1.24

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Martin Ødegaard in 10 games 3goals
Kylian Mbappé in 12 games 13goals
Top creator
Declan Rice in 10 games 5assists
Arda Güler in 12 games 4assists

Players in form

  1. Arda Güler Winger · Real Madrid 7.87 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    4
    • Big chances1.32 per 90 Top 1%
    • Key passes4.06 per 90 Top 1%
    • Crosses2.05 per 90 Top 2%
  2. Kylian Mbappé Striker · Real Madrid 7.79 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    13
    Assists
    2
    • On target2.65 per 90 Top 1%
    • xG0.88 per 90 Top 2%
    • Dribbles2.17 per 90 Top 2%
  3. Jude Bellingham Attacking midfielder · Real Madrid 7.58 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    4
    • Duels won8.12 per 90 Top 2%
    • Pass %89% per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third7.22 per 90 Top 6%
  4. Declan Rice Defensive midfielder · Arsenal 7.34 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    5
    • Duel %60% per 90 Top 7%
    • Passes70.02 per 90 Top 12%
    • Final third9.66 per 90 Top 14%
  5. Yan Diomande Winger · Real Madrid 7.33 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    2
    • Dribbles4.79 per 90 Top 1%
    • Dribble %65% per 90 Top 3%
    • NP goals0.41 per 90 Top 7%
  6. Martin Ødegaard Attacking midfielder · Arsenal 7.22 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    0
    • Final third10.08 per 90 Top 1%
    • Key passes2.79 per 90 Top 7%
    • Pass %87% per 90 Top 13%
  7. Christos Tzolis Winger · Arsenal 7.20 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Assists0.49 per 90 Top 5%
    • Key passes2.77 per 90 Top 6%
    • Crosses1.57 per 90 Top 7%
  8. Federico Valverde Defensive midfielder · Real Madrid 7.19 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Ball security7.73 per 90 Top 11%
    • Duel %57% per 90 Top 23%
    • Pass %90% per 90 Top 24%
  9. Dean Huijsen Centre-back · Real Madrid 7.17 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions2.16 per 90 Top 5%
    • Passes73.75 per 90 Top 6%
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 7%
  10. Bruno Guimarães Defensive midfielder · Arsenal 7.13 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Duels won7.25 per 90 Top 4%
    • Duel %62% per 90 Top 6%
    • Touches81.82 per 90 Top 20%
  11. Bukayo Saka Winger · Arsenal 7.12 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.44 per 90 Top 4%
    • Crosses1.59 per 90 Top 7%
    • NP goals0.32 per 90 Top 20%
  12. Gabriel Centre-back · Arsenal 7.12 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.12 per 90 Top 6%
    • Aerials2.73 per 90 Top 21%
    • Clearances5.91 per 90 Top 25%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Arsenal vs Real Madrid form

Arsenal All venues
4 W · 1 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.60
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
0.4
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. Premier League H Hull City 1–0 win xG 1.6–0.4
  2. Champions League A Slavia Praha 2–1 win xG 1.8–2.2
  3. Premier League A Liverpool 1–0 win xG 0.8–1.7
  4. Carabao Cup A Fleetwood Town 1–1 draw Pens xG 3.0–0.2
  5. Premier League H Everton 2–0 win xG 2.3–0.6
Real Madrid All venues
5 W · 0 D · 0 L
Points per game
3.00
Scored per game
3.0
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
  1. La Liga A Valencia 3–0 win xG 2.3–0.3
  2. Champions League A AEK Athens 3–2 win xG 3.6–1.2
  3. La Liga A Racing Santander 3–0 win xG 2.6–1.6
  4. La Liga A FC Barcelona 2–1 win xG 1.5–1.5
  5. Champions League H RB Leipzig 4–1 win xG 3.0–1.1

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Arsenal vs Real Madrid head to head

2 Arsenal wins 0 draws 0 Real Madrid wins
3.0 goals per game 50% both teams scored 100% over 2.5 goals
  1. 9 Dec 2026Champions League Arsenal 20:00 Real Madrid
  2. 16 Apr 2025Champions League Real Madrid 1–2 Arsenal
  3. 8 Apr 2025Champions League Arsenal 3–0 Real Madrid

Arsenal vs Real Madrid standings

Champions League table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Paris Saint Germain 4400205 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4400137 +6 12
3 Arsenal 431083 +5 10
4 Como 4301196 +13 9
5 FC Barcelona 4301146 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4301126 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4301127 +5 9
8 Liverpool 43011410 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4301117 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 430184 +4 9
11 Real Betis 430186 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 430175 +2 9
13 FC Bayern München 4220125 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 421174 +3 7
15 Inter 420286 +2 6
16 LASK 4202109 +1 6
17 Manchester United 420288 0 6
18 Galatasaray 420289 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4121611 -5 5
20 Roma 4112108 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 411244 0 4
22 Viking 4112910 -1 4
23 Atlético de Madrid 411245 -1 4
24 PSV 411234 -1 4
25 Bodø / Glimt 411249 -5 4
26 Porto 410367 -1 3
27 Napoli 4103611 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4103814 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4103511 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4103511 -6 3
31 Sabah 4103410 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4103411 -7 3
33 Lens 4103416 -12 3
34 Slavia Praha 401359 -4 1
35 LOSC Lille 4013410 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4004117 -16 0
  • Arsenal
  • Real Madrid
Full Champions League table

Champions League 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:34 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

40%Arsenal 22%Draw 39%Real Madrid
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.