Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Aston Villa host Manchester City in the England Premier League on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 12:30. Our model makes Manchester City favourites at 59%, with a 21% chance of a draw. In their last 12 meetings, Aston Villa won 4, Manchester City won 7 and 1 was drawn.

England Premier League Sat 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 Save

Aston Villa

12:30

24 Oct

Manchester City

Villa Park, Birmingham

Win probabilities

20%Aston Villa 21%Draw 59%Manchester City

Half-time result Pro

Aston Villa
Draw
Manchester City

Double chance

Aston Villa or draw 41%
Manchester City or draw 80%
Aston Villa or Manchester City 79%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Aston Villa/Aston Villa
Aston Villa/Draw
Aston Villa/Manchester City
Draw/Aston Villa
Draw/Draw
Draw/Manchester City
Manchester City/Aston Villa
Manchester City/Draw
Manchester City/Manchester City

Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Form

Aston Villa D W W W L

Manchester City W W W W W

Aston VillaManchester City

20% Win rate 100%

1.20 Goals scored 2.80

1.40 Goals conceded 0.80

60% Both teams score 40%

60% Over 2.5 goals 60%

20% Clean sheets 60%

20% Scored first 100%

1.23 xG for 1.65

1.44 xG against 1.24

7.20 Match corners 10.40

From 5 and 5 matches.

Aston Villa at home and Manchester City away this season.

0% Win rate 100%

1.00 Goals scored 2.67

1.67 Goals conceded 0.33

67% Both teams score 33%

67% Over 2.5 goals 67%

0% Clean sheets 67%

0% Scored first 100%

1.09 xG for 1.34

1.69 xG against 0.90

5.67 Match corners 10.67

From 3 and 3 matches.