Manchester United vs Aston Villa

Manchester United host Aston Villa in the England Premier League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:30. Our model makes Manchester United favourites at 41%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 15 meetings, Aston Villa won 3, Manchester United won 9 and 3 were drawn.

England Premier League Sun 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 Save

Manchester United

16:30

8 Nov

Aston Villa

Old Trafford, Manchester Chris Kavanagh

Win probabilities

41%Manchester United 24%Draw 36%Aston Villa

Half-time result Pro

Manchester United
Draw
Aston Villa

Double chance

Manchester United or draw 64%
Aston Villa or draw 60%
Manchester United or Aston Villa 77%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Manchester United/Manchester United
Manchester United/Draw
Manchester United/Aston Villa
Draw/Manchester United
Draw/Draw
Draw/Aston Villa
Aston Villa/Manchester United
Aston Villa/Draw
Aston Villa/Aston Villa

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Manchester United L L L D L

Aston Villa D L W W W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

Manchester UnitedAston Villa

0% Win rate 60%

0.60 Goals scored 1.80

1.60 Goals conceded 1.20

60% Both teams score 80%

20% Over 2.5 goals 60%

0% Clean sheets 20%

40% Scored first 80%

1.22 xG for 1.49

1.64 xG against 1.77

10.60 Match corners 10.00

Premier League matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

11% Win rate 33%

1.11 Goals scored 1.11

1.67 Goals conceded 1.44

56% Both teams score 56%

33% Over 2.5 goals 56%

0% Clean sheets 22%

33% Scored first 44%

1.59 xG for 1.18

1.32 xG against 1.82

10.22 Match corners 8.56

Premier League matches only, before kick-off: 9 each.

Manchester United at home and Aston Villa away this season.

25% Win rate 50%

1.50 Goals scored 1.00

1.75 Goals conceded 1.50

50% Both teams score 25%

50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

0% Clean sheets 50%

25% Scored first 50%

1.79 xG for 1.24

1.18 xG against 1.67

10.50 Match corners 8.75

Premier League matches only, before kick-off: 4 each.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United head to head

3 Aston Villa wins 3 draws 9 Manchester United wins

3.0 goals per game 67% both teams scored 67% over 2.5 goals

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Manchester United goals 0.5 Pro

Manchester United goals 1.5 Pro

Manchester United goals 2.5 Pro

Manchester United goals 3.5 Pro

Aston Villa goals 0.5 Pro

Aston Villa goals 1.5 Pro

Aston Villa goals 2.5 Pro

Aston Villa goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro

Form

Aston Villa vs Manchester United head to head