Grêmio vs Athletico PR

Grêmio host Athletico PR in the Brazil Serie A on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 00:30. Our model makes Grêmio favourites at 38%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 8 meetings, Athletico PR won 3, Grêmio won 4 and 1 was drawn.

Brazil Serie A Fri 30 Oct 2026, 00:30 Save

Grêmio

00:30

30 Oct

Athletico PR

Arena do Grêmio, Rio Alex Gomes Stefano

Win probabilities

38%Grêmio 27%Draw 36%Athletico PR

Half-time result Pro

Grêmio
Draw
Athletico PR

Double chance

Grêmio or draw 64%
Athletico PR or draw 62%
Grêmio or Athletico PR 74%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Grêmio/Grêmio
Grêmio/Draw
Grêmio/Athletico PR
Draw/Grêmio
Draw/Draw
Draw/Athletico PR
Athletico PR/Grêmio
Athletico PR/Draw
Athletico PR/Athletico PR

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Grêmio vs Athletico PR predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Grêmio vs Athletico PR lineups

Predicted

Grêmio 3-4-3

1 Weverton

6 Gustavo Martins
2 Fabián Balbuena
82 Wallace

18 João Pedro
8 Erick Noriega
20 Mathías Villasanti
23 Marlon

99 José Enamorado
95 Carlos Vinícius
9 Francis Amuzu

Athletico PR 3-4-2-1

1 Mycael

37 Lucas Esquivel
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre
4 Arthur Dias

7 Stiven Mendoza
14 Luiz Gustavo
27 Juan Portilla
29 Gastón Benavídez

8 João Cruz
21 Leozinho

9 Kevin Viveros

Grêmio vs Athletico PR team news

Grêmio are without 5 players and Athletico PR are without 7 players.

Grêmio 5 out

Roger Hamstring Injury · Missed 35 games Injured

Luis Eduardo Hamstring Injury · Missed 1 game Injured

Jovane Cabral Hamstring Injury · Missed 4 games Injured

Juan Nardoni Hamstring Injury · Missed 2 games Injured

Danilo Barbosa Hamstring Injury · Missed 1 game Injured

Athletico PR 7 out

Alejandro García Pubic Bone Bruise · Missed 44 games Injured

Gilberto Junior Bruise On Ankle · Missed 9 games Injured

Dantas Hamstring Injury · Missed 4 games Injured

Kerwin Vargas Shoulder Injury · Missed 3 games Injured

Claudio Cruciate Ligament Injury · Missed 1 game Injured

Gilberto Yellow Card Suspension · Out until 3 Nov 2026 Suspended

Wadson Yellow Card Suspension · Out until 3 Nov 2026 Suspended

Form

Grêmio W L D D D

Athletico PR D L W D W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

GrêmioAthletico PR

20% Win rate 40%

1.00 Goals scored 1.80

1.20 Goals conceded 1.40

60% Both teams score 80%

20% Over 2.5 goals 60%

40% Clean sheets 0%

60% Scored first 80%

1.60 xG for 1.32

1.56 xG against 1.42

13.40 Match corners 12.00

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

20% Win rate 30%

1.10 Goals scored 2.00

1.40 Goals conceded 1.90

60% Both teams score 90%

40% Over 2.5 goals 70%

20% Clean sheets 0%

40% Scored first 70%

1.19 xG for 1.48

1.79 xG against 1.66

11.30 Match corners 11.90

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 10 each.

25% Win rate 47%

1.09 Goals scored 1.56

1.38 Goals conceded 1.19

59% Both teams score 59%

44% Over 2.5 goals 50%

22% Clean sheets 25%

31% Scored first 56%

1.05 xG for 1.31

1.57 xG against 1.17

9.84 Match corners 10.41

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 32 each.

Grêmio at home and Athletico PR away this season.

44% Win rate 38%

1.56 Goals scored 1.44

1.31 Goals conceded 1.44

69% Both teams score 63%

50% Over 2.5 goals 56%

25% Clean sheets 19%

44% Scored first 44%

1.31 xG for 1.01

1.55 xG against 1.54

10.38 Match corners 10.19

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 16 each.

Athletico PR vs Grêmio head to head

3 Athletico PR wins 1 draws 4 Grêmio wins

2.3 goals per game 38% both teams scored 38% over 2.5 goals

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Match info

Where to watch Grêmio vs Athletico PR

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Football on TV today

Venue: Arena do Grêmio, Rio Capacity 60,540 · Grass
Forecast: 25°C, heavy intensity rain Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 78%
Managers: Renato Portaluppi Grêmio Odair Hellmann Athletico PR
Officials: Referee Alex Gomes Stefano 1st Assistant T. Rosa de Oliveira 2nd Assistant C. Alves de Lima Filho 4th Official L. Willers Lorenzatto

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Grêmio goals 0.5 Pro

Grêmio goals 1.5 Pro

Grêmio goals 2.5 Pro

Grêmio goals 3.5 Pro

Athletico PR goals 0.5 Pro

Athletico PR goals 1.5 Pro

Athletico PR goals 2.5 Pro

Athletico PR goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro