Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro

Botafogo host Atlético Mineiro in the Brazil Serie A on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 00:30. Our model makes Botafogo favourites at 58%, with a 23% chance of a draw. In their last 10 meetings, Atlético Mineiro won 3, Botafogo won 5 and 2 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Thu 5 Nov 2026, 00:30 Save

Botafogo

00:30

5 Nov

Atlético Mineiro

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro Lucas Casagrande

Win probabilities

58%Botafogo 23%Draw 20%Atlético Mineiro

Half-time result Pro

Botafogo
Draw
Atlético Mineiro

Double chance

Botafogo or draw 81%
Atlético Mineiro or draw 42%
Botafogo or Atlético Mineiro 77%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Botafogo/Botafogo
Botafogo/Draw
Botafogo/Atlético Mineiro
Draw/Botafogo
Draw/Draw
Draw/Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro/Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro/Draw
Atlético Mineiro/Atlético Mineiro

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Botafogo L L W D L

Atlético Mineiro L L L L W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

BotafogoAtlético Mineiro

20% Win rate 40%

0.80 Goals scored 1.40

1.60 Goals conceded 1.40

60% Both teams score 60%

60% Over 2.5 goals 60%

20% Clean sheets 20%

20% Scored first 40%

1.08 xG for 1.33

1.39 xG against 1.78

14.20 Match corners 13.20

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

20% Win rate 50%

0.80 Goals scored 1.40

1.60 Goals conceded 1.20

50% Both teams score 60%

50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

20% Clean sheets 20%

20% Scored first 50%

1.20 xG for 1.34

1.28 xG against 1.44

11.50 Match corners 12.70

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 10 each.

30% Win rate 42%

1.36 Goals scored 1.33

1.61 Goals conceded 1.18

67% Both teams score 48%

64% Over 2.5 goals 48%

15% Clean sheets 24%

42% Scored first 52%

1.14 xG for 1.29

1.29 xG against 1.30

10.33 Match corners 10.97

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 33 each.

Botafogo at home and Atlético Mineiro away this season.

38% Win rate 25%

1.63 Goals scored 1.06

1.38 Goals conceded 1.31

69% Both teams score 38%

69% Over 2.5 goals 44%

25% Clean sheets 19%

56% Scored first 31%

1.31 xG for 1.11

1.00 xG against 1.49

10.94 Match corners 10.75

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 16 each.

Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo head to head

3 Atlético Mineiro wins 2 draws 5 Botafogo wins

1.7 goals per game 20% both teams scored 20% over 2.5 goals

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Match info

Where to watch Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro

Football on TV today

Officials: Referee Lucas Casagrande

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Botafogo goals 0.5 Pro

Botafogo goals 1.5 Pro

Botafogo goals 2.5 Pro

Botafogo goals 3.5 Pro

Atlético Mineiro goals 0.5 Pro

Atlético Mineiro goals 1.5 Pro

Atlético Mineiro goals 2.5 Pro

Atlético Mineiro goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro

Form

Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo head to head