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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro 100,000 times. Botafogo won 55,191 of them (55.2%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Atlético Mineiro won 21%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Botafogo win is 1-0 (10%). Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
| Botafogo win | 55.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Atlético Mineiro win | 21% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.82 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.1% |
| Botafogo score first | 58.3% |
| Atlético Mineiro score first | 35% |
| Botafogo clean sheet | 35.9% |
| Atlético Mineiro clean sheet | 16.6% |
Chapecoense
Mirassol
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Coritiba
2.0–0.9
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Vasco da Gama
1.7–1.1
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Flamengo
Grêmio
2.7–0.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
São Paulo
Corinthians
1.5–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Palmeiras
Remo
2.5–0.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Fluminense
1.3–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493576 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Botafogo are favourites. They win 55.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 21% for Atlético Mineiro. Including the draw, Botafogo avoid defeat 79% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Botafogo win is 1-0 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations. Botafogo keep a clean sheet 35.9% of the time and Atlético Mineiro 16.6%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.82 for Botafogo and 1.03 for Atlético Mineiro. Over 1.5 goals lands 78% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.