Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cruzeiro vs Bahia 100,000 times. Cruzeiro won 60,789 of them (60.8%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Bahia won 18.5%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 60.2% of simulations.
| Cruzeiro win | 60.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Bahia win | 18.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.20 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 60.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.5% |
| Cruzeiro score first | 61.8% |
| Bahia score first | 34.2% |
| Cruzeiro clean sheet | 32.5% |
| Bahia clean sheet | 11.5% |
Chapecoense
Mirassol
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Coritiba
2.0–0.9
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Vasco da Gama
1.7–1.1
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Flamengo
Grêmio
2.7–0.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
São Paulo
Corinthians
1.5–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Palmeiras
Remo
2.5–0.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Fluminense
1.3–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493776 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cruzeiro are favourites. They win 60.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 18.5% for Bahia. Including the draw, Cruzeiro avoid defeat 81.5% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations. Cruzeiro keep a clean sheet 32.5% of the time and Bahia 11.5%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 2.20 for Cruzeiro and 1.13 for Bahia. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.3% and over 3.5 goals 42.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.