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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Athletico PR vs Vasco da Gama 100,000 times. Athletico PR won 48,700 of them (48.7%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Vasco da Gama won 26%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Athletico PR win is 1-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations.
| Athletico PR win | 48.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Vasco da Gama win | 26% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 54.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.1% |
| Athletico PR score first | 57.5% |
| Vasco da Gama score first | 35.5% |
| Athletico PR clean sheet | 32.8% |
| Vasco da Gama clean sheet | 19.9% |
Atlético Mineiro
Cruzeiro
1.6–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Grêmio
Athletico PR
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Corinthians
Mirassol
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Coritiba
Vitória
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Bragantino
Santos
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chapecoense
Mirassol
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Coritiba
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493564 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Athletico PR are favourites. They win 48.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 26% for Vasco da Gama. Including the draw, Athletico PR avoid defeat 74% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest Athletico PR win is 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations. Athletico PR keep a clean sheet 32.8% of the time and Vasco da Gama 19.9%.
The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.64 for Athletico PR and 1.13 for Vasco da Gama. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52% and over 3.5 goals 30.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.