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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro prediction

We simulated Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro 100,000 times. Atlético Mineiro won 38,461 of them (38.5%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Cruzeiro won 35.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Atlético Mineiro win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 60.9% of simulations.

Atlético Mineiro badge
Atlético Mineiro Arena MRV
Today
Cruzeiro badge
Cruzeiro Away
38.5% 38,461 wins
25.9% Draw
35.6% 35,635 wins
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.48
Likeliest score
1-1 11.9% Top Atlético win: 2-1 8.4%
Both score
60.9%
Over 2.5
57.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Raphael Claus Arena MRV, Brazil
Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro lineups, team news & head to head

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Today, 22:30

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro simulation probabilities
Atlético Mineiro win38.5%
Draw25.9%
Cruzeiro win35.6%
Most likely score1-1 (11.9%)
Expected goals1.54 – 1.48
Both teams to score60.9%
Over 1.5 goals80.9%
Over 2.5 goals57.8%
Over 3.5 goals35.7%
Atlético Mineiro score first52.1%
Cruzeiro score first41.7%
Atlético Mineiro clean sheet23.2%
Cruzeiro clean sheet21.8%

More Brazil Serie A simulations

Vasco da Gama Flamengo 1.1–1.6 xG 51% Over 2.5 Grêmio Athletico PR 1.6–1.2 xG 54% Over 2.5 Corinthians Mirassol 1.7–1.0 xG 49% Over 2.5 Coritiba Vitória 1.5–1.1 xG 48% Over 2.5 Bragantino Santos 1.9–1.3 xG 62% Over 2.5 Chapecoense Mirassol 1.4–1.5 xG 55% Over 2.5 Internacional Coritiba 2.1–0.9 xG 56% Over 2.5 Athletico PR Vasco da Gama 1.6–1.1 xG 52% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro prediction FAQs

Who will win Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Atlético Mineiro are favourites. They win 38.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 35.6% for Cruzeiro. Including the draw, Atlético Mineiro avoid defeat 64.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Atlético Mineiro win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Both teams score in 60.9% of simulations. Atlético Mineiro keep a clean sheet 23.2% of the time and Cruzeiro 21.8%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.54 for Atlético Mineiro and 1.48 for Cruzeiro. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.