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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Corinthians vs Mirassol 100,000 times. Corinthians won 53,243 of them (53.2%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Mirassol won 20.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Corinthians win is 1-0 (11.2%). Both teams score in 50.3% of simulations.
| Corinthians win | 53.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Mirassol win | 20.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Corinthians score first | 57.3% |
| Mirassol score first | 34% |
| Corinthians clean sheet | 38.9% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 19.2% |
Atlético Mineiro
Cruzeiro
1.6–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Grêmio
Athletico PR
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Coritiba
Vitória
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Bragantino
Santos
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chapecoense
Mirassol
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Coritiba
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Vasco da Gama
1.6–1.1
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493546 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Corinthians are favourites. They win 53.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 20.6% for Mirassol. Including the draw, Corinthians avoid defeat 79.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-0 (10.1%). The likeliest Corinthians win is 1-0 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.3% of simulations. Corinthians keep a clean sheet 38.9% of the time and Mirassol 19.2%.
The simulations average 2.62 goals: 1.67 for Corinthians and 0.95 for Mirassol. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.6% and over 3.5 goals 27%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.