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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo prediction

We simulated Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo 100,000 times. Flamengo won 46,476 of them (46.5%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Vasco da Gama won 27.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Flamengo win is 0-1 (9.9%). Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations.

Vasco da Gama badge
Vasco da Gama Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Today
Flamengo badge
Flamengo Away
27.1% 27,065 wins
26.5% Draw
46.5% 46,476 wins
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.56
Likeliest score
1-1 12.5% Top Flamengo win: 0-1 9.9%
Both score
53.9%
Over 2.5
50.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Bruno Arleu de Araujo Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, Rio de Janeiro
Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo lineups, team news & head to head

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Today, 23:00

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo simulation probabilities
Vasco da Gama win27.1%
Draw26.5%
Flamengo win46.5%
Most likely score1-1 (12.5%)
Expected goals1.14 – 1.56
Both teams to score53.9%
Over 1.5 goals75.5%
Over 2.5 goals50.5%
Over 3.5 goals28.7%
Vasco da Gama score first35.5%
Flamengo score first56.6%
Vasco da Gama clean sheet21.3%
Flamengo clean sheet32.4%

More Brazil Serie A simulations

Atlético Mineiro Cruzeiro 1.6–1.5 xG 58% Over 2.5 Grêmio Athletico PR 1.6–1.3 xG 54% Over 2.5 Corinthians Mirassol 1.7–1.0 xG 49% Over 2.5 Coritiba Vitória 1.5–1.1 xG 48% Over 2.5 Bragantino Santos 1.9–1.3 xG 62% Over 2.5 Chapecoense Mirassol 1.4–1.5 xG 55% Over 2.5 Internacional Coritiba 2.1–0.9 xG 56% Over 2.5 Athletico PR Vasco da Gama 1.6–1.1 xG 52% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo prediction FAQs

Who will win Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Flamengo are favourites. They win 46.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 27.1% for Vasco da Gama. Including the draw, Flamengo avoid defeat 72.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest Flamengo win is 0-1 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations. Vasco da Gama keep a clean sheet 21.3% of the time and Flamengo 32.4%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

The simulations average 2.70 goals: 1.14 for Vasco da Gama and 1.56 for Flamengo. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.5% and over 3.5 goals 28.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.