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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Coritiba vs Vitória 100,000 times. Coritiba won 43,849 of them (43.9%), the draw came up 27.8% of the time and Vitória won 28.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Coritiba win is 1-0 (10.2%). Both teams score in 52.1% of simulations.
| Coritiba win | 43.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.8% |
| Vitória win | 28.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 52.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Coritiba score first | 51% |
| Vitória score first | 40.7% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 32.9% |
| Vitória clean sheet | 23.7% |
Atlético Mineiro
Cruzeiro
1.6–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Grêmio
Athletico PR
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Corinthians
Mirassol
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Bragantino
Santos
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chapecoense
Mirassol
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Coritiba
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Vasco da Gama
1.6–1.1
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493565 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Coritiba are favourites. They win 43.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.8% for the draw and 28.4% for Vitória. Including the draw, Coritiba avoid defeat 71.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Coritiba win is 1-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.1% of simulations. Coritiba keep a clean sheet 32.9% of the time and Vitória 23.7%.
The simulations average 2.58 goals: 1.46 for Coritiba and 1.12 for Vitória. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.5% and over 3.5 goals 26%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.