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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Flamengo vs Grêmio 100,000 times. Flamengo won 80,873 of them (80.9%), the draw came up 12.2% of the time and Grêmio won 6.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.5%), and both teams score in 44.4% of simulations.
| Flamengo win | 80.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.2% |
| Grêmio win | 6.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.75 – 0.66 |
| Both teams to score | 44.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.1% |
| Flamengo score first | 79.1% |
| Grêmio score first | 17.6% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 52.1% |
| Grêmio clean sheet | 6.8% |
Chapecoense
Mirassol
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Coritiba
2.0–0.9
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Vasco da Gama
1.7–1.1
xG
55%
Over 2.5
São Paulo
Corinthians
1.5–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Palmeiras
Remo
2.5–0.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Fluminense
1.3–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493577 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Flamengo are favourites. They win 80.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.2% for the draw and 6.9% for Grêmio. Including the draw, Flamengo avoid defeat 93.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11.3%) and 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.4% of simulations. Flamengo keep a clean sheet 52.1% of the time and Grêmio 6.8%.
The simulations average 3.40 goals: 2.75 for Flamengo and 0.66 for Grêmio. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.6% and over 3.5 goals 44.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.