Flamengo vs Grêmio

Flamengo host Grêmio in the Brazil Serie A on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 22:30. Our model makes Flamengo favourites at 72%, with a 19% chance of a draw. In their last 14 meetings, Flamengo won 9, Grêmio won 3 and 2 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Wed 4 Nov 2026, 22:30 Save

Flamengo

22:30

4 Nov

Grêmio

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro Paulo Cesar Zanovelli

Win probabilities

72%Flamengo 19%Draw 9%Grêmio

Half-time result Pro

Flamengo
Draw
Grêmio

Double chance

Flamengo or draw 91%
Grêmio or draw 28%
Flamengo or Grêmio 81%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Flamengo/Flamengo
Flamengo/Draw
Flamengo/Grêmio
Draw/Flamengo
Draw/Draw
Draw/Grêmio
Grêmio/Flamengo
Grêmio/Draw
Grêmio/Grêmio

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Flamengo vs Grêmio predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Flamengo vs Grêmio lineups

Predicted

Flamengo 4-2-3-1

1 Agustín Rossi

5 Erick Pulgar
21 Jorginho

9 Pedro

Grêmio 3-4-3

12 Gabriel Grando

Flamengo vs Grêmio team news

Flamengo are without 4 players and Grêmio are without 9 players.

Flamengo 4 out

Danilo Facial Fracture · Missed 5 games Injured

Anthony Valencia Eye Injury · Missed 3 games Injured

Saúl Ñíguez Hamstring Injury · Missed 2 games Injured

Gonzalo Plata Yellow Card Suspension · Out until 17 Nov 2026 Suspended

Grêmio 9 out

Roger Hamstring Injury · Missed 37 games Injured

Luis Eduardo Hamstring Injury · Missed 1 game Injured

Jovane Cabral Hamstring Injury · Missed 6 games Injured

Juan Nardoni Hamstring Injury · Missed 4 games Injured

Danilo Barbosa Hamstring Injury · Missed 3 games Injured

Cristian Pavón Muscular problems · Missed 2 games Injured

Diego Caito Hamstring Injury · Missed 2 games Injured

Carlos Vinícius Yellow Card Suspension · Missed 1 game · Out until 17 Nov 2026 Suspended

Weverton Yellow Card Suspension · Missed 1 game · Out until 17 Nov 2026 Suspended

Form

Flamengo W W D W D

Grêmio W W W L D

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

FlamengoGrêmio

80% Win rate 40%

2.60 Goals scored 1.40

1.00 Goals conceded 1.20

60% Both teams score 60%

80% Over 2.5 goals 20%

40% Clean sheets 40%

80% Scored first 80%

2.02 xG for 1.70

1.22 xG against 1.38

11.60 Match corners 14.00

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

90% Win rate 30%

2.30 Goals scored 1.30

0.70 Goals conceded 1.30

50% Both teams score 60%

70% Over 2.5 goals 40%

50% Clean sheets 30%

90% Scored first 50%

2.08 xG for 1.26

0.97 xG against 1.73

12.50 Match corners 11.40

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 10 each.

67% Win rate 27%

2.06 Goals scored 1.12

0.85 Goals conceded 1.33

52% Both teams score 58%

64% Over 2.5 goals 42%

42% Clean sheets 24%

79% Scored first 33%

1.72 xG for 1.06

0.98 xG against 1.57

9.91 Match corners 9.97

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 33 each.

Flamengo at home and Grêmio away this season.

75% Win rate 6%

2.00 Goals scored 0.63

0.75 Goals conceded 1.44

44% Both teams score 50%

56% Over 2.5 goals 38%

50% Clean sheets 19%

75% Scored first 19%

1.87 xG for 0.79

0.83 xG against 1.59

10.19 Match corners 9.31

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 16 each.

Flamengo vs Grêmio head to head

9 Flamengo wins 2 draws 3 Grêmio wins

2.9 goals per game 43% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals

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Match info

Where to watch Flamengo vs Grêmio

Flamengo TV YouTube Argentina, Chile, Australia and 12 more countries
FlaTV Poland, Portugal, Spain and 7 more countries
YouTube International
Premiere Brazil
Zapping Brazil
Claro TV+ Brazil
Vivo Play Brazil
Sky+ Brazil
GLOBOPLAY Brazil

Football on TV today

Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro Capacity 78,838 · Grass
Forecast: 34°C, moderate rain Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 51%
Managers: José Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim Flamengo Renato Portaluppi Grêmio
Officials: Referee Paulo Cesar Zanovelli 1st Assistant V. Imazu dos Santos 2nd Assistant F. Gomes Antunes

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Flamengo goals 0.5 Pro

Flamengo goals 1.5 Pro

Flamengo goals 2.5 Pro

Flamengo goals 3.5 Pro

Grêmio goals 0.5 Pro

Grêmio goals 1.5 Pro

Grêmio goals 2.5 Pro

Grêmio goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro