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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Vitória vs Fluminense 100,000 times. Vitória won 38,417 of them (38.4%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Fluminense won 33%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Vitória win is 1-0 (9.3%). Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations.
| Vitória win | 38.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Fluminense win | 33% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 52.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.7% |
| Vitória score first | 49.4% |
| Fluminense score first | 41.7% |
| Vitória clean sheet | 29.7% |
| Fluminense clean sheet | 26.6% |
Chapecoense
Mirassol
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Coritiba
2.0–0.9
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Vasco da Gama
1.7–1.1
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Flamengo
Grêmio
2.7–0.7
xG
66%
Over 2.5
São Paulo
Corinthians
1.5–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Palmeiras
Remo
2.5–0.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493567 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vitória are favourites. They win 38.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 33% for Fluminense. Including the draw, Vitória avoid defeat 67% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.3%) and 0-0 (9%). The likeliest Vitória win is 1-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations. Vitória keep a clean sheet 29.7% of the time and Fluminense 26.6%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.34 for Vitória and 1.22 for Fluminense. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.1% and over 3.5 goals 25.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.