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Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas

Atlético Nacional host Once Caldas in the Colombia Liga BetPlay on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 20:30. Our model makes Atlético Nacional favourites at 55%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 18 meetings, Atlético Nacional won 10, Once Caldas won 3 and 5 were drawn.

Colombia Liga BetPlay Save
Atlético Nacional
20:30
14 Nov
Once Caldas
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín Referee: Andrés José Rojas Noguera

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas preview

Atlético Nacional have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 0.70 across their last 10 home games in the Liga BetPlay this season, while Once Caldas have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Atlético Nacional's last 10 home games and 7 of Once Caldas' last 10 away games. Atlético Nacional have won 8 of their last 10 home games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 8 of Atlético Nacional's last 10 home games. Atlético Nacional's last 10 home games have averaged 9.1 corners and Once Caldas' last 10 away games 8.1. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:34 UK.

  • Goals scored Atlético Nacional: 2.00 Once Caldas: 1.20
  • Goals conceded Atlético Nacional: 0.70 Once Caldas: 1.20
  • Both teams scored Atlético Nacional: 5 of 1050% Once Caldas: 7 of 1070%
  • Over 2.5 goals Atlético Nacional: 5 of 1050% Once Caldas: 3 of 1030%
  • Match corners Atlético Nacional: 9.10 Once Caldas: 8.10
  • Match cards Atlético Nacional: 5.80 Once Caldas: 6.20

Atlético Nacional's last 10 home games and Once Caldas' last 10 away games in the Liga BetPlay this season.

Win probabilities

55%Atlético Nacional 27%Draw 18%Once Caldas

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas: questions and answers

When is Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas kicks off at 20:30 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in the Liga BetPlay, at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín.

Who is the favourite in Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Atlético Nacional a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Once Caldas 18%.

How many goals do Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas games have?

Atlético Nacional have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 0.70 across their last 10 home games in the Liga BetPlay this season, while Once Caldas have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Atlético Nacional's last 10 home games and 7 of Once Caldas' last 10 away games.

Where are Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas in the Liga BetPlay table?

Atlético Nacional are 1st with 39 points from 18 games. Once Caldas are 8th with 27 points from 18 games.

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas stats

All competitions , Pro
Atlético Nacional8W 2D 0L · 10 home games
Once Caldas2W 6D 2L · 10 away games
Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas general stats: Atlético Nacional's last 10 home games and Once Caldas' last 10 away games in the Liga BetPlay this season
Atlético NacionalStatOnce Caldas
Match outcomes
8 of 1080% Win 2 of 1020%
2 of 1020% Draw 6 of 1060%
0 of 100% Loss 2 of 1020%
26 Points 12
2.60 Points per game 1.20
13 Goal difference 0
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
20.00 xG performance 12.00
Possession & attacks
62% Possession 54%
42.50 Dangerous attacks 40.40
27.70 Dangerous attacks against 31.10
Shots
16.90 Shots for 15.50
9.20 Shots against 11.80
5.60 On target for 5.50
3.00 On target against 3.20
12% Shot conversion 8%
33% On-target accuracy 35%
Tackles & fouls
14.50 Tackles 9.80
12.40 Fouls committed 12.90
12.40 Fouls won 9.60
1.60 Offsides 2.40

Atlético Nacional's last 10 home games and Once Caldas' last 10 away games in the Liga BetPlay this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:34 UK.

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Once Caldas Dayro Moreno 2.49
  2. 2 Atlético Nacional Cristian Arango 1.52
  3. 3 Once Caldas Jefry Zapata 1.49
  4. 4 Atlético Nacional Alfredo Morelos 1.45
  5. 5 Atlético Nacional Edwin Cardona 1.44

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Alfredo Morelos in 33 games 16goals
Dayro Moreno in 37 games 17goals
Top creator
Juan Rengifo in 38 games 9assists
Juan David Cuesta in 38 games 9assists

Players in form

  1. Edwin Cardona Attacking midfielder · Atlético Nacional 7.26 Form rating
    Apps
    33
    Goals
    10
    Assists
    4
    • Final third11.14 per 90 Top 4%
    • NP goals0.50 per 90 Top 7%
    • Shots3.30 per 90 Top 8%
  2. A. Roa Central midfielder · Once Caldas 7.20 Form rating
    Apps
    25
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    4
    • Key passes2.48 per 90 Top 4%
    • Shots2.37 per 90 Top 5%
    • Big chances0.34 per 90 Top 5%
  3. James Rodríguez Striker · Atlético Nacional 7.13 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes3.90 per 90 Top 1%
    • Big chances0.63 per 90 Top 4%
    • Assists0.33 per 90 Top 5%
  4. Alfredo Morelos Striker · Atlético Nacional 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    33
    Goals
    16
    Assists
    6
    • Key passes2.11 per 90 Top 4%
    • NP goals0.63 per 90 Top 8%
    • On target1.45 per 90 Top 12%
  5. Jefry Zapata Striker · Once Caldas 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    37
    Goals
    13
    Assists
    3
    • Key passes1.90 per 90 Top 5%
    • On target1.49 per 90 Top 9%
    • Assists0.23 per 90 Top 10%
  6. César Haydar Centre-back · Atlético Nacional 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    24
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Passes75.81 per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third12.32 per 90 Top 3%
    • Recoveries6.13 per 90 Top 3%
  7. Jorman Campuzano Central midfielder · Atlético Nacional 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    30
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Passes69.69 per 90 Top 3%
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 3%
    • Ball security7.08 per 90 Top 9%
  8. Andrés Sarmiento Winger · Atlético Nacional 7.02 Form rating
    Apps
    39
    Goals
    12
    Assists
    7
    • NP goals0.59 per 90 Top 4%
    • Shots3.56 per 90 Top 4%
    • Assists0.21 per 90 Top 23%
  9. Dayro Moreno Striker · Once Caldas 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    37
    Goals
    17
    Assists
    1
    • On target2.49 per 90 Top 4%
    • Key passes2.13 per 90 Top 5%
    • NP goals0.67 per 90 Top 15%
  10. Luis Gómez Winger · Once Caldas 7.00 Form rating
    Apps
    37
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    3
    • Shots3.59 per 90 Top 4%
    • Key passes2.71 per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third6.61 per 90 Top 5%
  11. Michael Barrios Winger · Once Caldas 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    29
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes1.72 per 90 Top 20%
    • Shots2.25 per 90 Top 29%
  12. Jesus Camargo Goalkeeper · Once Caldas 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Clearances1.07 per 90 Top 23%
    • Recoveries8.79 per 90 Top 27%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas form

Atlético Nacional All venues
3 W · 2 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.20
Scored per game
2.0
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Copa Colombia A Once Caldas 1–1 draw
  2. Liga BetPlay H Deportivo Pereira 4–3 win
  3. Liga BetPlay A Atlético Bucaramanga 1–1 draw
  4. Liga BetPlay H Santa Fe 2–0 win
  5. Liga BetPlay H Independiente Medellín 2–1 win
Once Caldas All venues
3 W · 2 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.20
Scored per game
1.2
Conceded per game
0.4
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
  1. Copa Colombia H Atlético Nacional 1–1 draw
  2. Liga BetPlay H Rionegro Águilas 1–0 win
  3. Copa Colombia A Santa Fe 2–0 win
  4. Liga BetPlay H Alianza Petrolera 1–0 win
  5. Liga BetPlay H Deportivo Pereira 1–1 draw

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas head to head

10 Atlético Nacional wins 5 draws 3 Once Caldas wins
1.9 goals per game 33% both teams scored 28% over 2.5 goals
  1. 17 Nov 2026Copa Colombia Atlético Nacional 23:30 Once Caldas
  2. 14 Nov 2026Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 20:30 Once Caldas
  3. 11 Nov 2026Copa Colombia Once Caldas 1–1 Atlético Nacional
  4. 2 May 2026Liga BetPlay Once Caldas 1–0 Atlético Nacional
  5. 23 Oct 2025Copa Colombia Atlético Nacional 2–0 Once Caldas
  6. 10 Oct 2025Copa Colombia Once Caldas 0–1 Atlético Nacional
  7. 12 Jul 2025Liga BetPlay Once Caldas 1–3 Atlético Nacional
  8. 20 Jun 2025Liga BetPlay Once Caldas 1–2 Atlético Nacional
  9. 2 Jun 2025Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 0–0 Once Caldas
  10. 27 Jan 2025Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional Canc Once Caldas
  11. 26 Jan 2025Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 4–0 Once Caldas
  12. 27 Jul 2024Liga BetPlay Once Caldas 2–0 Atlético Nacional
  13. 1 Feb 2024Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 1–1 Once Caldas
  14. 17 Jul 2023Liga BetPlay Once Caldas 1–1 Atlético Nacional
  15. 27 Jan 2023Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 1–0 Once Caldas
  16. 14 Oct 2022Liga BetPlay Once Caldas 1–0 Atlético Nacional
  17. 12 May 2022Copa Colombia Once Caldas 1–2 Atlético Nacional
  18. 24 Apr 2022Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 0–0 Once Caldas
  19. 21 Apr 2022Copa Colombia Atlético Nacional 3–0 Once Caldas
  20. 28 Oct 2021Liga BetPlay Atlético Nacional 2–0 Once Caldas
  21. 17 Feb 2021Liga BetPlay Once Caldas 0–1 Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas standings

Liga BetPlay table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Atlético Nacional 1812333717 +20 39
2 América de Cali 1810623112 +19 36
3 Deportivo Cali 189722610 +16 34
4 Atlético Bucaramanga 188823017 +13 32
5 Santa Fe 189452818 +10 31
6 Independiente Medellín 189272825 +3 29
7 Millonarios 186932516 +9 27
8 Once Caldas 187652218 +4 27
9 Deportes Tolima 187562321 +2 26
10 Rionegro Águilas 186752221 +1 25
11 Llaneros 197392124 -3 24
12 Cúcuta Deportivo 187381926 -7 24
13 Junior FC 195772627 -1 22
14 Internacional de Bogotá 184862225 -3 20
15 Boyacá Chicó 195591529 -14 20
16 Alianza Petrolera 1853101831 -13 18
17 Deportivo Pereira 183871626 -10 17
18 Deportivo Pasto 1943121330 -17 15
19 Jaguares de Córdoba 1834111735 -18 13
20 Fortaleza CEIF 181981728 -11 12
  • Atlético Nacional
  • Once Caldas

Liga BetPlay 2026 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 14:34 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas odds

Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Atlético Nacional 2.66Betfair Exchange Drifted 23%from 2.16 55%
Draw 3.55Kambi Group No changefrom 3.55 27%
Once Caldas 3.35Kambi Group No changefrom 3.35 18%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Atlético Nacional or Draw 1.44Bet365 No changefrom 1.44 82%
Draw or Once Caldas 1.50WilliamHill Shortened 27%from 2.05 45%
Atlético Nacional or Once Caldas 1.33Bet365 No changefrom 1.33 73%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Atlético Nacional 1.83Bet365 No changefrom 1.83 75%
Once Caldas 1.91WilliamHill Shortened 44%from 3.40 25%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.73WilliamHill Drifted 2%from 1.70 55%
BTTS No 2.36Betfair Exchange Drifted 4%from 2.28 45%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.29Betfair Exchange Drifted 6%from 1.22 78%
Under 1.5 4.20Betfair Exchange No changefrom 4.20 22%
Over 2.5 1.88Betfair Exchange Drifted 9%from 1.73 54%
Under 2.5 2.06Betfair Exchange Shortened 3%from 2.12 47%
Over 3.5 3.15Betfair Exchange Drifted 18%from 2.68 29%
Under 3.5 1.43Betfair Exchange Shortened 2%from 1.46 71%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Atlético Nacional 3.121xBet No changefrom 3.12 –
Draw 2.30WilliamHill Shortened 3%from 2.38 –
Once Caldas 3.441xBet No changefrom 3.44 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 14:29. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

55%Atlético Nacional 27%Draw 18%Once Caldas
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.