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Grêmio vs Bahia

Grêmio host Bahia in the Brazil Serie A on Thursday 19 November 2026, kick-off 00:30. Our model makes Grêmio favourites at 43%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 14 meetings, Bahia won 4, Grêmio won 5 and 5 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Save
Grêmio
00:30
19 Nov
Bahia
Arena do Grêmio, Rio Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Grêmio vs Bahia preview

Grêmio have scored 1.60 goals a game and conceded 1.50 across their last 10 home games in the Serie A this season, while Bahia have scored 1.50 and conceded 1.60 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 8 of Grêmio's last 10 home games and 7 of Bahia's last 10 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in each of Grêmio's last 10 home games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 9 of Grêmio's last 10 home games. Grêmio's last 10 home games have averaged 12.2 corners and Bahia's last 10 away games 12.1. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 22:10 UK.

  • Goals scored Grêmio: 1.60 Bahia: 1.50
  • Goals conceded Grêmio: 1.50 Bahia: 1.60
  • Both teams scored Grêmio: 8 of 1080% Bahia: 7 of 1070%
  • Over 2.5 goals Grêmio: 6 of 1060% Bahia: 5 of 1050%
  • Match corners Grêmio: 12.20 Bahia: 12.10
  • Match cards Grêmio: 6.10 Bahia: 4.00

Grêmio's last 10 home games and Bahia's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season.

Win probabilities

43%Grêmio 25%Draw 32%Bahia

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Grêmio vs Bahia: questions and answers

When is Grêmio vs Bahia?

Grêmio vs Bahia kicks off at 00:30 UK time on Thursday 19 November 2026 in the Serie A, at Arena do Grêmio, Rio.

Who is the favourite in Grêmio vs Bahia?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Grêmio a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bahia 32%.

How many goals do Grêmio and Bahia games have?

Grêmio have scored 1.60 goals a game and conceded 1.50 across their last 10 home games in the Serie A this season, while Bahia have scored 1.50 and conceded 1.60 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 8 of Grêmio's last 10 home games and 7 of Bahia's last 10 away games.

Where are Grêmio and Bahia in the Serie A table?

Grêmio are 18th with 37 points from 34 games. Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 34 games.

Grêmio vs Bahia stats

Grêmio4W 3D 3L · 10 home games
Bahia2W 4D 4L · 10 away games
Grêmio vs Bahia general stats: Grêmio's last 10 home games and Bahia's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
GrêmioStatBahia
Match outcomes
4 of 1040% Win 2 of 1020%
3 of 1030% Draw 4 of 1040%
3 of 1030% Loss 4 of 1040%
15 Points 10
1.50 Points per game 1.00
1 Goal difference -1
Expected goals
1.30 xG per game 1.58
1.78 xGA per game 1.73
3.00 xG performance -0.82
Possession & attacks
46% Possession 52%
38.60 Dangerous attacks 41.50
52.10 Dangerous attacks against 56.80
Shots
12.90 Shots for 15.10
18.60 Shots against 18.50
4.50 On target for 3.40
5.60 On target against 7.30
12% Shot conversion 10%
35% On-target accuracy 23%
Tackles & fouls
12.70 Tackles 15.40
15.80 Fouls committed 10.50
14.10 Fouls won 13.30
1.20 Offsides 1.00

Grêmio's last 10 home games and Bahia's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 22:10 UK.

Grêmio vs Bahia lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Grêmio vs Bahia players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Bahia Everaldo 1.21
  2. 2 Grêmio Martin Braithwaite 1.09
  3. 3 Grêmio Jovane Cabral 1.07
  4. 4 Grêmio Tetê 1.07
  5. 5 Bahia Cristian Olivera 0.99

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Carlos Vinícius in 32 games 11goals
Luciano Juba in 30 games 11goals
Top creator
Cristian Pavón in 29 games 4assists
Rodrigo Nestor in 27 games 5assists

Players in form

  1. Ronaldo Goalkeeper · Bahia 7.43 Form rating
    Apps
    25
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Saves5.06 per 90 Top 2%
    • Clearances1.80 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %79% per 90 Top 9%
  2. Weverton Goalkeeper · Grêmio 7.27 Form rating
    Apps
    31
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Saves4.19 per 90 Top 5%
    • Recoveries9.43 per 90 Top 20%
    • Touches42.47 per 90 Top 30%
  3. Cristian Pavón Winger · Grêmio 7.22 Form rating
    Apps
    29
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    4
    • Key passes2.87 per 90 Top 4%
    • Big chances0.68 per 90 Top 5%
    • Recoveries5.50 per 90 Top 5%
  4. Wallace Centre-back · Grêmio 7.18 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    1
    • xG0.15 per 90 Top 4%
    • Ball security5.27 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %91% per 90 Top 9%
  5. Marlon Full-back · Grêmio 7.14 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    1
    • Key passes2.17 per 90 Top 4%
    • Crosses1.91 per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third9.05 per 90 Top 7%
  6. Luciano Juba Full-back · Bahia 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    30
    Goals
    11
    Assists
    2
    • xG0.21 per 90 Top 3%
    • Duel %59% per 90 Top 14%
    • Key passes1.34 per 90 Top 15%
  7. Rodrigo Nestor Central midfielder · Bahia 7.02 Form rating
    Apps
    27
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    5
    • Big chances0.44 per 90 Top 5%
    • Key passes2.24 per 90 Top 6%
    • G+A0.47 per 90 Top 7%
  8. Marcos Victor Full-back · Bahia 7.00 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Duel %60% per 90 Top 14%
    • Pass %86% per 90 Top 16%
    • Assists0.15 per 90 Top 22%
  9. Fabián Balbuena Centre-back · Grêmio 6.97 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Aerial %73% per 90 Top 6%
    • Duel %67% per 90 Top 9%
  10. Gabriel Grando Goalkeeper · Grêmio 6.96 Form rating
    Apps
    2
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Clearances1.85 per 90 Top 5%
    • Ball security6.89 per 90 Top 15%
    • Saves3.68 per 90 Top 17%
  11. David Duarte Centre-back · Bahia 6.96 Form rating
    Apps
    27
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    1
    • Aerial %70% per 90 Top 9%
    • Clearances6.97 per 90 Top 11%
    • Ball security6.66 per 90 Top 20%
  12. Alejo Veliz Striker · Bahia 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    1
    • Aerials4.00 per 90 Top 10%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Grêmio vs Bahia form

Grêmio All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. Copa do Brasil A Atlético Mineiro 1–1 draw
  2. Serie A A Flamengo 1–3 defeat xG 0.3–2.0
  3. Copa do Brasil H Atlético Mineiro 2–0 win
  4. Serie A H Athletico PR 2–0 win xG 1.4–1.6
  5. Serie A A Coritiba 1–0 win xG 1.8–1.1
Bahia All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.8
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Serie A A Cruzeiro 2–3 defeat xG 0.9–3.4
  2. Serie A H São Paulo 3–2 win xG 1.3–1.0
  3. Serie A A Santos 1–1 draw xG 1.5–1.8
  4. Serie A H Flamengo 0–3 defeat xG 0.5–3.0
  5. Serie A H Mirassol 1–0 win xG 2.8–1.7

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Bahia vs Grêmio head to head

4 Bahia wins 5 draws 5 Grêmio wins
2.1 goals per game 50% both teams scored 29% over 2.5 goals
  1. 19 Nov 2026Serie A Grêmio 00:30 Bahia
  2. 17 May 2026Serie A Bahia 1–1 Grêmio
  3. 20 Oct 2025Serie A Bahia 4–0 Grêmio
  4. 25 May 2025Serie A Grêmio 1–0 Bahia
  5. 17 Aug 2024Serie A Grêmio 0–2 Bahia
  6. 28 Apr 2024Serie A Bahia 1–0 Grêmio
  7. 4 Nov 2023Serie A Grêmio 1–0 Bahia
  8. 13 Jul 2023Copa do Brasil Grêmio 1–1Pens Bahia
  9. 5 Jul 2023Copa do Brasil Bahia 1–1 Grêmio
  10. 1 Jul 2023Serie A Bahia 1–2 Grêmio
  11. 16 Oct 2022Serie B Grêmio 1–1 Bahia
  12. 3 Jul 2022Serie B Bahia 0–0 Grêmio
  13. 26 Nov 2021Serie A Bahia 3–1 Grêmio
  14. 21 Aug 2021Serie A Grêmio 2–0 Bahia
  15. 6 Jan 2021Serie A Grêmio 2–1 Bahia

Grêmio vs Bahia standings

Serie A table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Flamengo 3423747129 +42 76
2 Palmeiras 34211036223 +39 73
3 Cruzeiro 34186105548 +7 60
4 Fluminense 3416995542 +13 57
5 Athletico PR 34159105143 +8 54
6 Bahia 34141195045 +5 53
7 Atlético Mineiro 34148124440 +4 50
8 Bragantino 34138134439 +5 47
9 Santos 341211115049 +1 47
10 São Paulo 34128143939 0 44
11 Botafogo 34119144653 -7 42
12 Coritiba 34119144051 -11 42
13 Vasco da Gama 33118144350 -7 41
14 Mirassol 341010143948 -9 40
15 Vitória 34108163551 -16 38
16 Internacional 34911143842 -4 38
17 Corinthians 34910153642 -6 37
18 Grêmio 34910153847 -9 37
19 Remo 34611173757 -20 29
20 Chapecoense 3349203368 -35 21
  • Grêmio
  • Bahia
  • Relegation

Serie A 2026 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 22:10 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Grêmio vs Bahia odds

Best price across 8 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Grêmio 2.38Kambi Group Shortened 9%from 2.60 43%
Draw 3.65Betfair Exchange Shortened 1%from 3.70 25%
Bahia 3.06Pinnacle Drifted 2%from 2.99 32%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Grêmio or Draw 1.40Bet365 No changefrom 1.40 68%
Draw or Bahia 1.631xBet No changefrom 1.63 57%
Grêmio or Bahia 1.30Bet365 No changefrom 1.30 75%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Grêmio 1.70WilliamHill No changefrom 1.70 58%
Bahia 2.10Bet365 No changefrom 2.10 42%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.60WilliamHill No changefrom 1.60 60%
BTTS No 2.38FanDuel Shortened 2%from 2.42 40%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.22Bet365 No changefrom 1.22 79%
Under 1.5 4.40FanDuel No changefrom 4.40 21%
Over 2.5 1.741xBet Drifted 1%from 1.72 57%
Under 2.5 2.20Betfair Exchange Drifted 1%from 2.18 43%
Over 3.5 2.80FanDuel No changefrom 2.80 34%
Under 3.5 1.46Pinnacle No changefrom 1.46 66%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Grêmio 2.87Bet365 No changefrom 2.87 –
Draw 2.39Pinnacle No changefrom 2.39 –
Bahia 3.59Pinnacle No changefrom 3.59 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 11:58. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

43%Grêmio 25%Draw 32%Bahia
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Grêmio vs Bahia predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Grêmio vs Bahia bet builder

Top picks, ranked by how often each leg landed in the last 10 games · 1.40+

  1. Over 8.5 shots on target Shots & more 1.41 Kambi Grêmio 8/10 Bahia 9/10
  2. 2nd half under 1.5 goals Goals 1.83 Bet365 Grêmio 8/10 Bahia 7/10
  3. 2nd half over 5.5 corners Corners 1.65 Kambi Grêmio 7/10 Bahia 8/10
Open the full bet builder77 markets with hit rates for every leg, live prices and a suggested builder