Bahia vs São Paulo

Bahia beat São Paulo 3-2 in the Brazil Serie A on Thursday 29 October 2026, 2-2 at half-time. In their last 10 meetings, including this one, Bahia won 3, São Paulo won 5 and 2 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Thu 29 Oct 2026, 00:30 Save

Bahia

HT 2-2

São Paulo

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador Anderson Daronco

Pre-match probabilities

57%Bahia 24%Draw 20%São Paulo

Half-time result Pro

Bahia
Draw
São Paulo

Double chance

Bahia or draw 81%
São Paulo or draw 43%
Bahia or São Paulo 77%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Bahia/Bahia
Bahia/Draw
Bahia/São Paulo
Draw/Bahia
Draw/Draw
Draw/São Paulo
São Paulo/Bahia
São Paulo/Draw
São Paulo/São Paulo

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Bahia vs São Paulo predictionSee how the pre-match simulation called it

Bahia vs São Paulo key moments

6' Rodrigo Nestor 1-0 Goal · Assist Jean Lucas · Header, Bahia
10' Erick Pulga 2-0 Goal · Assist Marcos Victor · Right foot shot, Bahia
43' Lucas Moura 2-1 Goal · Assist Jonathan Calleri · Right foot shot, São Paulo
45+5' Damián Bobadilla 2-2 Goal · Assist Jonathan Calleri · Left foot shot, São Paulo
69' Marcos Victor Yellow card · Foul, Bahia
70' Sabino Yellow card · Time wasting, São Paulo
81' Marcos Victor 3-2 Goal · Assist Erick · Header, Bahia
90+1' Gustavo Santana Yellow card · Foul, São Paulo
90+2' Lucas Moura Yellow card · Foul, São Paulo
90+3' Dorival Júnior Yellow card · Argument, São Paulo
90+6' David Duarte Yellow card · Foul, Bahia

Pressure monitor Pro

Whole match

Last 15 minutes

Minutes on top

Bahia São Paulo

0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90'

0–15'

15–30'

30–45'

45–60'

60–75'

75–90'

See who's on top, minute by minute Pro shows the live pressure chart with goals and red cards, who's on top right now, each side's strongest spell and every 15-minute period. Unlock with Pro

Match stats

1st Half 2nd Half

BahiaSão Paulo

1.33 Expected goals (xG) 0.95

1.97 xG on target 1.08

47% Possession 53%

106 Attacks 125

43 Dang. Attacks 43

13 Shots 14

4 Shots On Target 6

3 Big Chances 1

7 Corners 11

80% Pass Accuracy 86%

4 Saves 1

12 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Offsides 3

1.33 Expected goals (xG) 0.95

1.97 xG on target 1.08

106 Attacks 125

43 Dang. Attacks 43

13 Shots 14

4 Shots On Target 6

5 Shots Off Target 4

4 Shots Blocked 4

10 Shots Inside Box 8

3 Shots Outside Box 6

9 Goal Attempts 8

3 Big Chances 1

1 Big Chances Missed 1

1 Hit Woodwork 0

7 Corners 11

13 Dribbles 12

4 Successful Dribbles 3

31% Dribble Success 25%

0 Offsides 3

Bahia vs São Paulo lineups

Confirmed

Bahia 5-3-2

1 Ronaldo

99 Cristian Olivera
44 Marcos Victor
33 David Duarte
3 Marco Moreno
46 Luciano Juba

6 Jean Lucas
5 Nicolás Acevedo
11 Rodrigo Nestor

9 Alejo Veliz
16 Erick Pulga

Substitutes

7 Ademir 56'
8 Caio Alexandre 74'
10 Everton Ribeiro 56'
14 Erick 56'
15 Michel Araújo 88'
17 Guido Herrera
23 Mateo Sanabria
27 Everaldo
31 Román Gómez
43 Luiz Gustavo
66 Zé Guilherme
77 Ruan Pablo

São Paulo 3-4-2-1

23 Rafael

35 Sabino
5 Robert Arboleda
28 Newton

18 Wendell
29 Pablo Maia
16 Damián Bobadilla
32 Pedro Lima

7 Lucas Moura
10 Luciano

9 Jonathan Calleri

Substitutes

2 Rafael Tolói
17 André Silva
19 Lucas Ramon
27 Victor Sá 82'
31 Carlos Coronel
43 Gustavo Santana 83'
46 Pedro Ferreira
48 Djhordney 71'
49 Ryan Francisco
54 Luis Osorio
80 Cauly 82'
94 Danielzinho 82'

Bahia and São Paulo player stats

Bahia player stats

1 Ronaldo GK	90	0	0	0	0	16	0	0	0	16	0
3 Marco Moreno DEF	90	0	0	0	0	43	1	0	0	43	1
33 David Duarte DEF	90	0	0	1	0	47	2	1	0	47	2
44 Marcos Victor DEF	90	1	1	1	1	69	1	1	1	69	1
46 Luciano Juba DEF	90	0	0	0	0	52	1	0	0	52	1
99 Cristian Olivera DEF	88	0	0	1	0	15	0	1	0	15	0
11 Rodrigo Nestor MID	74	1	0	2	2	27	0	2	2	27	0
5 Nicolás Acevedo MID	56	0	0	2	0	37	2	2	0	37	2
6 Jean Lucas MID	56	0	1	0	0	28	1	0	0	28	1
9 Alejo Veliz FWD	90	0	0	0	0	21	1	0	0	21	1
16 Erick Pulga FWD	56	1	0	3	1	13	1	3	1	13	1
10 Everton Ribeiro MID Sub	34	0	0	0	0	21	0	0	0	21	0
14 Erick MID Sub	34	0	1	2	0	14	0	2	0	14	0
8 Caio Alexandre MID Sub	16	0	0	0	0	15	0	0	0	15	0
15 Michel Araújo MID Sub	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0
7 Ademir FWD Sub	34	0	0	1	0	10	2	1	0	10	2

São Paulo player stats

23 Rafael GK	90	0	0	0	0	18	0	0	0	18	0
5 Robert Arboleda DEF	90	0	0	0	0	51	1	0	0	51	1
28 Newton DEF	90	0	0	3	0	54	0	3	0	54	0
35 Sabino DEF	83	0	0	0	0	52	0	0	0	52	0
32 Pedro Lima MID	90	0	0	2	1	35	0	2	1	35	0
16 Damián Bobadilla MID	82	1	0	2	2	53	1	2	2	53	1
18 Wendell MID	82	0	0	1	0	37	0	1	0	37	0
29 Pablo Maia MID	82	0	0	0	0	50	1	0	0	50	1
7 Lucas Moura FWD	90	1	0	2	2	38	3	2	2	38	3
9 Jonathan Calleri FWD	90	0	2	0	0	16	1	0	0	16	1
10 Luciano FWD	71	0	0	2	0	34	1	2	0	34	1
48 Djhordney MID Sub	19	0	0	1	1	23	0	1	1	23	0
80 Cauly MID Sub	8	0	0	0	0	9	2	0	0	9	2
94 Danielzinho MID Sub	8	0	0	1	0	16	1	1	0	16	1
27 Victor Sá FWD Sub	8	0	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	8	1
43 Gustavo Santana FWD Sub	7	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	3	1

Min: Minutes played
G: Goals
A: Assists
Sh: Shots
SoT: Shots on target
Pass: Passes
Fls: Fouls committed
Rtg: Rating
Sh: Shots
SoT: Shots on target
xG: Expected goals
xGoT: Expected goals on target
KP: Key passes
BCC: Big chances created
BCM: Big chances missed
Drb: Successful dribbles
Off: Offsides
Pass: Passes
Pass%: Pass accuracy
KP: Key passes
F3rd: Passes in the final third
Crs: Crosses
ACrs: Accurate crosses
LB: Long balls
Tch: Touches
Tkl: Tackles
Int: Interceptions
Clr: Clearances
Blk: Shots blocked
Rec: Ball recoveries
Duel: Duels won
Aer: Aerials won
DrbP: Dribbled past
Fls: Fouls committed
FlsD: Fouls won
YC: Yellow cards
Disp: Dispossessed
Lost: Possession lost
Err: Errors leading to a shot
Sv: Saves
SvIn: Saves inside the box
HC: High claims
Tch: Touches
LB: Long balls
Pass%: Pass accuracy

You're seeing 7 of 37 player stats. Create a free account to see every one, including xG, key passes, tackles, duels, saves and player ratings.

Bahia vs São Paulo team news

Bahia were without 2 players and São Paulo were without 6 players.

Bahia 2 out

Léo Vieira Torn Knee Ligaments · Missed 17 games Injured

Kanu Yellow Card Suspension · Missed 1 game Suspended

São Paulo 6 out

Aurélio Buta Knee Problems · Missed 10 games Injured

Domingos Duarte Torn Knee Ligaments · Missed 5 games Injured

Nicolas Meniscus Injury · Missed 9 games Injured

Artur Back Problems · Missed 1 game Injured

Iago Yellow Card Suspension · Missed 1 game Suspended

Marcos Antônio Ankle Injury Injured

Form

Bahia D L W L L

São Paulo D W W L L

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

BahiaSão Paulo

20% Win rate 40%

0.60 Goals scored 1.00

1.40 Goals conceded 1.20

40% Both teams score 60%

40% Over 2.5 goals 40%

20% Clean sheets 20%

40% Scored first 60%

1.37 xG for 1.48

1.99 xG against 1.50

13.40 Match corners 12.00

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

50% Win rate 50%

1.60 Goals scored 1.00

1.50 Goals conceded 1.00

60% Both teams score 40%

60% Over 2.5 goals 30%

20% Clean sheets 30%

50% Scored first 60%

2.04 xG for 1.61

1.68 xG against 1.30

12.60 Match corners 12.50

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 10 each.

41% Win rate 38%

1.41 Goals scored 1.16

1.25 Goals conceded 1.13

63% Both teams score 56%

50% Over 2.5 goals 38%

28% Clean sheets 22%

41% Scored first 53%

1.51 xG for 1.38

1.38 xG against 1.19

11.63 Match corners 11.44

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 32 each.

Bahia at home and São Paulo away this season.

44% Win rate 13%

1.44 Goals scored 0.75

1.06 Goals conceded 1.44

63% Both teams score 56%

50% Over 2.5 goals 31%

31% Clean sheets 6%

38% Scored first 19%

1.51 xG for 1.16

1.09 xG against 1.35

11.00 Match corners 11.13

Serie A matches only, before kick-off: 16 each.

Bahia vs São Paulo head to head

3 Bahia wins 2 draws 5 São Paulo wins

2.4 goals per game 40% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals

OddAlerts AI match report

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Match info

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Football on TV today

Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador Capacity 48,902 · Grass
Weather: 25°C, light rain Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 94%
Managers: Rogério Ceni Bahia Dorival Silvestre Júnior São Paulo
Officials: Referee Anderson Daronco 1st Assistant G. Dias Camilo 2nd Assistant C. Da Silva 4th Official Antonio Dib Moraes de Sousa

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Pre-match probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Bahia goals 0.5 Pro

Bahia goals 1.5 Pro

Bahia goals 2.5 Pro

Bahia goals 3.5 Pro

São Paulo goals 0.5 Pro

São Paulo goals 1.5 Pro

São Paulo goals 2.5 Pro

São Paulo goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro