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Larne vs Ballymena United

Larne host Ballymena United in the Northern Ireland Premiership on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 18:00. Our model makes Larne favourites at 52%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 22 meetings, Ballymena United won 6, Larne won 14 and 2 were drawn.

Northern Ireland Premiership Save
Larne
18:00
21 Nov
Ballymena United
Inver Park, Larne

Larne vs Ballymena United preview

Larne have scored 1.43 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 7 home games in the Premiership this season, while Ballymena United have scored 1.63 and conceded 1.50 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Larne's last 7 home games and 6 of Ballymena United's last 8 away games. Larne have scored first in 6 of their last 7 home games and Ballymena United 7 of their last 8 away games. Ballymena United have won 2 of their last 8 away games. Larne's last 7 home games have averaged 8.4 corners and Ballymena United's last 8 away games 9.1. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 16:47 UK.

  • Goals scored Larne: 1.43 Ballymena United: 1.63
  • Goals conceded Larne: 1.00 Ballymena United: 1.50
  • Both teams scored Larne: 4 of 757% Ballymena United: 6 of 875%
  • Over 2.5 goals Larne: 3 of 743% Ballymena United: 5 of 863%
  • Match corners Larne: 8.43 Ballymena United: 9.13
  • Match cards Larne: 4.29 Ballymena United: 3.25

Larne's last 7 home games and Ballymena United's last 8 away games in the Premiership this season.

Win probabilities

52%Larne 25%Draw 23%Ballymena United

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Larne vs Ballymena United: questions and answers

When is Larne vs Ballymena United?

Larne vs Ballymena United kicks off at 18:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Premiership, at Inver Park, Larne.

Who is the favourite in Larne vs Ballymena United?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Larne a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ballymena United 23%.

How many goals do Larne and Ballymena United games have?

Larne have scored 1.43 goals a game and conceded 1.00 across their last 7 home games in the Premiership this season, while Ballymena United have scored 1.63 and conceded 1.50 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Larne's last 7 home games and 6 of Ballymena United's last 8 away games.

Where are Larne and Ballymena United in the Premiership table?

Larne are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games. Ballymena United are 9th with 16 points from 13 games.

Larne vs Ballymena United stats

Larne4W 1D 2L · 7 home games
Ballymena United2W 3D 3L · 8 away games
Larne vs Ballymena United general stats: Larne's last 7 home games and Ballymena United's last 8 away games in the Premiership this season
LarneStatBallymena United
Match outcomes
4 of 757% Win 2 of 825%
1 of 714% Draw 3 of 838%
2 of 729% Loss 3 of 838%
13 Points 9
1.86 Points per game 1.13
3 Goal difference 1
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
10.00 xG performance 13.00
Possession & attacks
57% Possession 43%
68.43 Dangerous attacks 50.00
40.57 Dangerous attacks against 64.75
Shots
12.86 Shots for 8.75
4.86 Shots against 11.38
4.86 On target for 3.75
2.00 On target against 4.00
11% Shot conversion 19%
38% On-target accuracy 43%
Tackles & fouls
0.14 Tackles 1.63
10.29 Fouls committed 14.00
12.29 Fouls won 11.63
2.57 Offsides 1.50

Larne's last 7 home games and Ballymena United's last 8 away games in the Premiership this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 16:47 UK.

Larne vs Ballymena United lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Larne vs Ballymena United players

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Paul O'Neill in 10 games 4goals
Igor Rutkowski in 11 games 5goals
Top creator
Matthew Lusty in 6 games 2assists
Chris McKee in 8 games 2assists

Players in form

  1. Matthew Lusty Striker · Larne 6.95 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    2
    • Big chances0.69 per 90 Top 3%
    • On target1.97 per 90 Top 5%
    • Assists0.29 per 90 Top 7%
  2. Igor Rutkowski Striker · Ballymena United 6.87 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    0
    • Fouls won3.06 per 90 Top 4%
    • Aerials5.19 per 90 Top 5%
    • On target1.54 per 90 Top 9%
  3. Chris McKee Attacking midfielder · Ballymena United 6.86 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    2
    • Dribbles2.40 per 90 Top 5%
    • Duels won8.31 per 90 Top 8%
    • Shots2.58 per 90 Top 21%
  4. Paul O'Neill Striker · Larne 6.78 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    2
    • Assists0.25 per 90 Top 11%
    • NP goals0.58 per 90 Top 12%
    • Big chances0.28 per 90 Top 14%
  5. Success Edogun Winger · Ballymena United 6.67 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • NP goals0.43 per 90 Top 8%
    • Shots3.11 per 90 Top 8%
    • Dribbles3.25 per 90 Top 8%
  6. Finley Thorndike Attacking midfielder · Ballymena United 6.64 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Dribbles2.21 per 90 Top 9%
    • NP goals0.39 per 90 Top 12%
    • Duels won6.68 per 90 Top 21%
  7. Dylan Sloan Winger · Larne 6.63 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Big chances0.31 per 90 Top 18%
    • Dribble %77% per 90 Top 21%
  8. Josh Ukek Striker · Larne 6.62 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Dribbles2.30 per 90 Top 6%
    • Big chances0.22 per 90 Top 23%
    • Assists0.16 per 90 Top 27%
  9. Leroy Millar Winger · Larne 6.60 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Assists0.31 per 90 Top 9%
    • NP goals0.24 per 90 Top 28%
  10. Sean Graham Central midfielder · Larne 6.60 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Dribbles1.59 per 90 Top 8%
    • Big chances0.15 per 90 Top 20%
    • G+A0.23 per 90 Top 26%
  11. David Walsh Goalkeeper · Ballymena United 6.60 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials0.52 per 90 Top 15%
  12. Daithí McCallion Centre-back · Ballymena United 6.60 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials5.52 per 90 Top 3%
    • Clearances8.12 per 90 Top 4%
    • Interceptions2.36 per 90 Top 11%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Larne vs Ballymena United form

Larne All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.6
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Premiership A Cliftonville 2–4 defeat
  2. Premiership H Portadown 1–0 win
  3. Premiership H Limavady United 1–1 draw
  4. Premiership A Bangor 2–1 win
  5. Premiership H Linfield 1–2 defeat
Ballymena United All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Premiership A Portadown 1–1 draw
  2. Premiership H Bangor 0–1 defeat
  3. Irish League Cup A Newington Youth 3–1 win
  4. Premiership H Crusaders 2–1 win
  5. County Antrim Shield A Crusaders 1–0 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Ballymena United vs Larne head to head

6 Ballymena United wins 2 draws 14 Larne wins
2.1 goals per game 27% both teams scored 41% over 2.5 goals
  1. 2 Jan 2027Premiership Larne 15:00 Ballymena United
  2. 1 Dec 2026Premiership Ballymena United Postp Larne
  3. 21 Nov 2026Premiership Larne 18:00 Ballymena United
  4. 28 Feb 2026Premiership Ballymena United 0–2 Larne
  5. 3 Feb 2026Irish Cup Ballymena United 1–2 Larne
  6. 2 Dec 2025Irish League Cup Ballymena United 2–0 Larne
  7. 1 Nov 2025Premiership Ballymena United 0–2 Larne
  8. 29 Aug 2025Premiership Larne 2–0 Ballymena United
  9. 11 Mar 2025Premiership Ballymena United 1–2 Larne
  10. 25 Jan 2025Premiership Larne 2–1 Ballymena United
  11. 7 Sep 2024Premiership Larne 0–1 Ballymena United
  12. 17 Feb 2024Premiership Ballymena United 0–1 Larne
  13. 2 Dec 2023Premiership Ballymena United 0–0 Larne
  14. 15 Aug 2023Premiership Larne 3–0 Ballymena United
  15. 31 Mar 2023Irish Cup Larne 0–2 Ballymena United
  16. 17 Mar 2023Premiership Larne 1–0 Ballymena United
  17. 21 Feb 2023Premiership Ballymena United 0–3 Larne
  18. 11 Oct 2022County Antrim Shield Larne 1–0 Ballymena United
  19. 26 Aug 2022Premiership Larne 3–0 Ballymena United
  20. 25 Mar 2022Premiership Larne 1–3 Ballymena United
  21. 10 Dec 2021Premiership Ballymena United 2–1 Larne
  22. 30 Oct 2021Premiership Ballymena United 0–3 Larne
  23. 6 Mar 2021Premiership Ballymena United 1–1 Larne
  24. 2 Jan 2021Premiership Larne 0–1 Ballymena United
  25. 31 Oct 2020Premiership Larne 2–0 Ballymena United

Larne vs Ballymena United standings

Premiership table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Linfield 1511312411 +13 36
2 Coleraine 1511223216 +16 35
3 Larne 138232414 +10 26
4 Glentoran 146441711 +6 22
5 Cliftonville 157082719 +8 21
6 Carrick Rangers 155462327 -4 19
7 Dungannon Swifts 145361620 -4 18
8 Crusaders 156092030 -10 18
9 Ballymena United 134451817 +1 16
10 Limavady United 154291626 -10 14
11 Bangor 153391326 -13 12
12 Portadown 1523101225 -13 9
  • Larne
  • Ballymena United

Premiership 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 16:47 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

52%Larne 25%Draw 23%Ballymena United
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.