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Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Paderborn
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have scored 2.20 goals a game and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Paderborn have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.30 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and 4 of Paderborn's last 10 away games. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games have averaged 11.2 corners and Paderborn's last 10 away games 9.3. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 22:22 UK.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and Paderborn's last 10 away games in all competitions.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Bundesliga, at BayArena, Leverkusen.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paderborn 18%.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have scored 2.20 goals a game and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Paderborn have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.30 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and 4 of Paderborn's last 10 away games.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th with 16 points from 9 games. Paderborn are 13th with 10 points from 9 games.
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Win | 3 of 1030% |
| 1 of 1010% | Draw | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Loss | 2 of 1020% |
| 19 | Points | 14 |
| 1.90 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 10 | Goal difference | -1 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 2.29 | xG per game | 1.35 |
| 1.35 | xGA per game | 1.39 |
| -0.86 | xG performance | -1.53 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 56% | Possession | 48% |
| 60.70 | Dangerous attacks | 41.50 |
| 39.50 | Dangerous attacks against | 51.70 |
| Shots | ||
| 18.00 | Shots for | 11.90 |
| 11.40 | Shots against | 14.70 |
| 6.80 | On target for | 4.00 |
| 4.20 | On target against | 5.80 |
| 12% | Shot conversion | 10% |
| 38% | On-target accuracy | 34% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 15.10 | Tackles | 18.00 |
| 10.90 | Fouls committed | 11.30 |
| 10.50 | Fouls won | 12.10 |
| 1.40 | Offsides | 1.20 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.40 | Goals per game (total) | 2.50 |
| 22 | Goals scored | 12 |
| 2.20 | Scored per game | 1.20 |
| 12 | Goals conceded | 13 |
| 1.20 | Conceded per game | 1.30 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Scored first | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | Failed to score | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Clean sheet | 5 of 1050% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 6 of 1060% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| Total goals | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 0.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 9 of 1090% | Over 1.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Scored 1+ | 6 of 1060% |
| 7 of 1070% | Scored 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Conceded 1+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 3 of 1030% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 1 of 1010% | Conceded 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Winning at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Drawing at HT | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Losing at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 11.20 | Total corners | 9.30 |
| 8.00 | Corners for | 3.90 |
| 3.20 | Corners against | 5.40 |
| 9 of 1090% | Most corners | 4 of 1040% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 7.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 8.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 10.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 12.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | For over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 8 of 1080% | For over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 6 of 1060% | For over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 5 of 1050% | For over 7.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 4.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 2 of 1020% | Against over 5.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 0 of 100% | Against over 6.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| By half | ||
| 4.80 | 1H total | 3.80 |
| 3.30 | 1H for | 2.10 |
| 1.50 | 1H against | 1.70 |
| 6.40 | 2H total | 5.00 |
| 4.70 | 2H for | 1.70 |
| 1.70 | 2H against | 3.30 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.50 | Total cards | 4.00 |
| 1.50 | Cards received | 2.40 |
| 2.00 | Opponent cards | 1.60 |
| 2 of 1020% | Most cards | 6 of 1060% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 2.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 3.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 1 of 1010% | Over 5.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Received 1+ | 10 of 10100% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 1 of 1010% | Received 3+ | 4 of 1040% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Opponent 1+ | 10 of 10100% |
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 1.50 | 1H total | 1.10 |
| 0.60 | 1H received | 0.70 |
| 2.10 | 2H total | 2.70 |
| 1.00 | 2H received | 1.50 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 29.40 | Total shots (match) | 26.60 |
| 11.00 | Total on target (match) | 9.80 |
| 32% | On-target conversion | 30% |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and Paderborn's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Win | 2 of 1020% |
| 0 of 100% | Draw | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Loss | 4 of 1040% |
| 21 | Points | 10 |
| 2.10 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 8 | Goal difference | -4 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 2.33 | xG per game | 1.19 |
| 1.45 | xGA per game | 1.64 |
| -0.27 | xG performance | -3.88 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 58% | Possession | 49% |
| 58.70 | Dangerous attacks | 46.80 |
| 38.00 | Dangerous attacks against | 56.10 |
| Shots | ||
| 18.30 | Shots for | 13.90 |
| 12.20 | Shots against | 16.50 |
| 7.30 | On target for | 3.60 |
| 3.90 | On target against | 5.10 |
| 13% | Shot conversion | 6% |
| 40% | On-target accuracy | 26% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 15.10 | Tackles | 17.30 |
| 9.30 | Fouls committed | 11.60 |
| 11.70 | Fouls won | 10.70 |
| 1.10 | Offsides | 1.30 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 3.80 | Goals per game (total) | 2.00 |
| 23 | Goals scored | 8 |
| 2.30 | Scored per game | 0.80 |
| 15 | Goals conceded | 12 |
| 1.50 | Conceded per game | 1.20 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 5 of 1050% | Scored first | 3 of 1030% |
| 2 of 1020% | Failed to score | 6 of 1060% |
| 3 of 1030% | Clean sheet | 3 of 1030% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS | 3 of 1030% |
| 5 of 1050% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 7 of 1070% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| Total goals | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 0.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 9 of 1090% | Over 1.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 2.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Scored 1+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 8 of 1080% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Scored 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Conceded 1+ | 7 of 1070% |
| 4 of 1040% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 3 of 1030% | Conceded 3+ | 1 of 1010% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 1040% | Winning at HT | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | Drawing at HT | 5 of 1050% |
| 2 of 1020% | Losing at HT | 3 of 1030% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 10.80 | Total corners | 10.10 |
| 7.10 | Corners for | 4.50 |
| 3.70 | Corners against | 5.60 |
| 8 of 1080% | Most corners | 5 of 1050% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 7.5 | 10 of 10100% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 8.5 | 8 of 1080% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 9.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 10.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 11.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 12.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | For over 4.5 | 5 of 1050% |
| 6 of 1060% | For over 5.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | For over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| 4 of 1040% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 100% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Against over 4.5 | 7 of 1070% |
| 1 of 1010% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 0 of 100% | Against over 6.5 | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 4.70 | 1H total | 5.20 |
| 2.60 | 1H for | 3.20 |
| 2.10 | 1H against | 2.00 |
| 6.10 | 2H total | 4.90 |
| 4.50 | 2H for | 1.30 |
| 1.60 | 2H against | 3.60 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 5.10 | Total cards | 3.00 |
| 2.40 | Cards received | 1.40 |
| 2.70 | Opponent cards | 1.60 |
| 3 of 1030% | Most cards | 3 of 1030% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Over 2.5 | 6 of 1060% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 4.5 | 3 of 1030% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 5.5 | 1 of 1010% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 9 of 1090% | Received 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 7 of 1070% | Received 2+ | 4 of 1040% |
| 4 of 1040% | Received 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Opponent 1+ | 9 of 1090% |
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 2+ | 5 of 1050% |
| 6 of 1060% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 1020% |
| By half | ||
| 1.90 | 1H total | 1.20 |
| 0.90 | 1H received | 0.70 |
| 3.50 | 2H total | 2.00 |
| 1.80 | 2H received | 0.80 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 30.50 | Total shots (match) | 30.40 |
| 11.20 | Total on target (match) | 8.70 |
| 32% | On-target conversion | 22% |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 games and Paderborn's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 22:22 UK.
Where each side ranks among the 18 Bundesliga teams, over their last 10 league games.
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Stat | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 5th highest | Points per game | 1.11 =12th highest |
| 2.22 =3rd most | Goals scored per game | 0.89 16th most |
| 1.89 =10th fewest | Goals conceded per game | 1.22 =4th fewest |
| 8 of 9 Joint most | Over 2.5 goals | 4 of 9 =16th most |
| 6 of 9 =6th most | Both teams scored | 3 of 9 =16th most |
| 2 of 9 =7th most | Clean sheets | 3 of 9 =3rd most |
| 1 of 9 =3rd fewest | Failed to score | 5 of 9 17th fewest |
| 5 of 9 =7th most | Scored first | 3 of 9 =11th most |
| 7.2 2nd most | Corners won per game | 4.6 13th most |
| 5.3 Most | Yellow cards per game | 3.0 =14th most |
Ranks are out of 18; ties are marked =. Updated 14 Nov 2026, 22:22 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.
Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.
Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.
No games match these filters.
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Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 | ||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 19 | ||
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 | ||
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 16 | ||
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 | ||
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 | ||
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 | ||
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 | ||
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 | ||
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | ||
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 | ||
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 7 | ||
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 | ||
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | +21 | 15 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 13 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 12 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 10 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 | ||
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 9 | ||
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 9 | ||
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 9 | ||
| 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 | ||
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 | ||
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 11 | ||
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 | ||
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | ||
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | ||
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | ||
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 | ||
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 3 | ||
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | ||
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 1 |
Bundesliga 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 23:11 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1.29Betano | Drifted 2%from 1.27 | 59% |
| Draw | 7.10Pinnacle | Shortened 2%from 7.21 | 23% |
| Paderborn | 11.00Betfair Exchange | Drifted 10%from 10.00 | 18% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw | 1.07Bet365 | Drifted 1%from 1.06 | 82% |
| Draw or Paderborn | 3.75Bet365 | No changefrom 3.75 | 41% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Paderborn | 1.14Bet365 | Drifted 2%from 1.12 | 77% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1.08Bet365 | Drifted 1%from 1.07 | 76% |
| Paderborn | 8.00Bet365 | Shortened 11%from 9.00 | 24% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.74Betfair Exchange | Drifted 6%from 1.65 | 52% |
| BTTS No | 2.26Betfair Exchange | Drifted 13%from 2.00 | 48% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.11Betano | Drifted 3%from 1.08 | 76% |
| Under 1.5 | 8.50FanDuel | Drifted 6%from 8.00 | 25% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35Betano | Drifted 6%from 1.28 | 54% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.55FanDuel | Drifted 4%from 3.40 | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.921xBet | Drifted 11%from 1.73 | 34% |
| Under 3.5 | 2.02FanDuel | Drifted 3%from 1.96 | 66% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1.61Bet365 | No changefrom 1.61 | – |
| Draw | 3.00Bet365 | Shortened 3%from 3.10 | – |
| Paderborn | 7.50Bet365 | Shortened 6%from 8.00 | – |
Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Nov, 20:02. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulationTop picks, ranked by how often each leg landed in the last 10 games · 1.40+