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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn

Bayer 04 Leverkusen host Paderborn in the Germany Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 14:30. Our model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen favourites at 59%, with a 23% chance of a draw. In their last 3 meetings, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2, Paderborn won 1 and 0 were drawn.

Germany Bundesliga Save
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
14:30
21 Nov
Paderborn
BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have scored 2.20 goals a game and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Paderborn have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.30 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and 4 of Paderborn's last 10 away games. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games have averaged 11.2 corners and Paderborn's last 10 away games 9.3. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 22:22 UK.

  • Goals scored Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 2.20 Paderborn: 1.20
  • Goals conceded Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1.20 Paderborn: 1.30
  • Both teams scored Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 5 of 1050% Paderborn: 4 of 1040%
  • Over 2.5 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 5 of 1050% Paderborn: 4 of 1040%
  • Match corners Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 11.20 Paderborn: 9.30
  • Match cards Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 3.50 Paderborn: 4.00

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and Paderborn's last 10 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

59%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 23%Draw 18%Paderborn

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn: questions and answers

When is Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Bundesliga, at BayArena, Leverkusen.

Who is the favourite in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paderborn 18%.

How many goals do Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Paderborn games have?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have scored 2.20 goals a game and conceded 1.20 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Paderborn have scored 1.20 and conceded 1.30 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and 4 of Paderborn's last 10 away games.

Where are Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Paderborn in the Bundesliga table?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th with 16 points from 9 games. Paderborn are 13th with 10 points from 9 games.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen6W 1D 3L · 10 home games
Paderborn3W 5D 2L · 10 away games
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn general stats: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and Paderborn's last 10 away games in all competitions
Bayer 04 LeverkusenStatPaderborn
Match outcomes
6 of 1060% Win 3 of 1030%
1 of 1010% Draw 5 of 1050%
3 of 1030% Loss 2 of 1020%
19 Points 14
1.90 Points per game 1.40
10 Goal difference -1
Expected goals
2.29 xG per game 1.35
1.35 xGA per game 1.39
-0.86 xG performance -1.53
Possession & attacks
56% Possession 48%
60.70 Dangerous attacks 41.50
39.50 Dangerous attacks against 51.70
Shots
18.00 Shots for 11.90
11.40 Shots against 14.70
6.80 On target for 4.00
4.20 On target against 5.80
12% Shot conversion 10%
38% On-target accuracy 34%
Tackles & fouls
15.10 Tackles 18.00
10.90 Fouls committed 11.30
10.50 Fouls won 12.10
1.40 Offsides 1.20

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 home games and Paderborn's last 10 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 22:22 UK.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn league rankings

Where each side ranks among the 18 Bundesliga teams, over their last 10 league games.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Paderborn Bundesliga rankings, last 10 league games
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Stat Paderborn
1.78 5th highest Points per game 1.11 =12th highest
2.22 =3rd most Goals scored per game 0.89 16th most
1.89 =10th fewest Goals conceded per game 1.22 =4th fewest
8 of 9 Joint most Over 2.5 goals 4 of 9 =16th most
6 of 9 =6th most Both teams scored 3 of 9 =16th most
2 of 9 =7th most Clean sheets 3 of 9 =3rd most
1 of 9 =3rd fewest Failed to score 5 of 9 17th fewest
5 of 9 =7th most Scored first 3 of 9 =11th most
7.2 2nd most Corners won per game 4.6 13th most
5.3 Most Yellow cards per game 3.0 =14th most
See all 218 stats on the Bundesliga form guide Rank every team on xG, shots, corners, cards, halves and more, over any recent window.

Ranks are out of 18; ties are marked =. Updated 14 Nov 2026, 22:22 UK.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Patrik Schick 1.82
  2. 2 Paderborn Deniz Zeitler 1.43
  3. 3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Afonso Moreira 1.33
  4. 4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Jonas Hofmann 1.31
  5. 5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Nathan Tella 1.21

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Patrik Schick in 9 games 8goals
Steffen Tigges in 9 games 2goals
Top creator
Miguel Gutiérrez in 9 games 4assists
Laurin Curda in 9 games 1assist

Players in form

  1. Aleix García Defensive midfielder · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7.62 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Passes93.48 per 90 Top 2%
    • Touches109.75 per 90 Top 2%
    • Key passes2.40 per 90 Top 4%
  2. Patrik Schick Striker · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7.36 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    8
    Assists
    2
    • xG0.76 per 90 Top 4%
    • On target1.82 per 90 Top 6%
    • NP goals0.66 per 90 Top 10%
  3. Ibrahim Maza Attacking midfielder · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7.21 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    3
    • Dribbles1.93 per 90 Top 11%
    • Tackles2.00 per 90 Top 13%
    • Duels won6.34 per 90 Top 13%
  4. Janis Blaswich Goalkeeper · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7.19 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Saves3.91 per 90 Top 10%
    • Ball security6.90 per 90 Top 14%
    • Pass %72% per 90 Top 28%
  5. Nahuel Noll Goalkeeper · Paderborn 7.19 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Passes51.43 per 90 Top 1%
    • Touches61.33 per 90 Top 1%
    • Clearances1.63 per 90 Top 7%
  6. Raphael Obermair Wing-back · Paderborn 7.17 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Crosses1.63 per 90 Top 9%
    • Interceptions1.34 per 90 Top 14%
    • Key passes1.78 per 90 Top 19%
  7. Laurin Curda Wing-back · Paderborn 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Tackles2.73 per 90 Top 10%
    • Recoveries5.08 per 90 Top 15%
    • Duel %57% per 90 Top 15%
  8. Santiago Castañeda Central midfielder · Paderborn 7.01 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions2.37 per 90 Top 1%
    • Big chances0.30 per 90 Top 12%
    • Recoveries5.39 per 90 Top 20%
  9. Mattes Hansen Centre-back · Paderborn 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Tackles2.39 per 90 Top 9%
    • Recoveries4.74 per 90 Top 13%
    • Interceptions1.68 per 90 Top 17%
  10. Tjark Scheller Centre-back · Paderborn 6.98 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries6.46 per 90 Top 1%
    • Aerial %67% per 90 Top 15%
    • Aerials2.84 per 90 Top 18%
  11. Facundo Medina Centre-back · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries5.66 per 90 Top 4%
    • Passes75.97 per 90 Top 5%
    • Final third9.03 per 90 Top 7%
  12. Loïc Badé Centre-back · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6.93 Form rating
    Apps
    3
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries6.51 per 90 Top 3%
    • Passes77.97 per 90 Top 4%
    • Pass %93% per 90 Top 4%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen All venues
2 W · 0 D · 3 L
Points per game
1.20
Scored per game
1.8
Conceded per game
2.2
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Bundesliga A FC Köln 2–1 win xG 1.4–1.4
  2. Europa League H Olympique Marseille 0–1 defeat xG 1.3–0.7
  3. Bundesliga H VfB Stuttgart 2–4 defeat xG 2.6–2.5
  4. DFB Pokal H Nürnberg 5–2 win xG 3.5–1.2
  5. Bundesliga A TSG Hoffenheim 0–3 defeat xG 0.7–3.3
Paderborn All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Club Friendlies 3 H Eintracht Braunschweig 4–1 win
  2. Bundesliga H Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 draw xG 2.2–1.8
  3. Bundesliga A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 draw xG 1.0–1.1
  4. DFB Pokal H VfB Stuttgart 0–1 defeat xG 0.9–2.6
  5. Bundesliga H Hamburger SV 1–0 win xG 1.5–0.5

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn head to head

2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins 0 draws 1 Paderborn wins
4.3 goals per game 100% both teams scored 100% over 2.5 goals
  1. 20 Mar 2027Bundesliga Paderborn 00:00 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  2. 21 Nov 2026Bundesliga Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14:30 Paderborn
  3. 29 Oct 2025DFB Pokal Paderborn 2–4AET Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  4. 6 Dec 2023DFB Pokal Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Paderborn
  5. 21 Jul 2023Club Friendlies 3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 Paderborn

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn standings

Bundesliga table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 FC Bayern München 9630299 +20 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630167 +9 21
3 SC Freiburg 96122010 +10 19
4 RB Leipzig 96032713 +14 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 95132017 +3 16
6 Werder Bremen 94321715 +2 15
7 Elversberg 94141718 -1 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 94051515 0 12
9 TSG Hoffenheim 94051617 -1 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 93331520 -5 12
11 Hamburger SV 94051020 -10 12
12 FSV Mainz 05 93151819 -1 10
13 Paderborn 9243811 -3 10
14 FC Augsburg 92342020 0 9
15 FC Köln 92341014 -4 9
16 FC Union Berlin 9144721 -14 7
17 Schalke 04 9135511 -6 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 91171225 -13 4
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Paderborn
  • Relegation
Full Bundesliga table

Bundesliga 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 23:11 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn odds

Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.29Betano Drifted 2%from 1.27 59%
Draw 7.10Pinnacle Shortened 2%from 7.21 23%
Paderborn 11.00Betfair Exchange Drifted 10%from 10.00 18%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw 1.07Bet365 Drifted 1%from 1.06 82%
Draw or Paderborn 3.75Bet365 No changefrom 3.75 41%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Paderborn 1.14Bet365 Drifted 2%from 1.12 77%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.08Bet365 Drifted 1%from 1.07 76%
Paderborn 8.00Bet365 Shortened 11%from 9.00 24%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.74Betfair Exchange Drifted 6%from 1.65 52%
BTTS No 2.26Betfair Exchange Drifted 13%from 2.00 48%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.11Betano Drifted 3%from 1.08 76%
Under 1.5 8.50FanDuel Drifted 6%from 8.00 25%
Over 2.5 1.35Betano Drifted 6%from 1.28 54%
Under 2.5 3.55FanDuel Drifted 4%from 3.40 46%
Over 3.5 1.921xBet Drifted 11%from 1.73 34%
Under 3.5 2.02FanDuel Drifted 3%from 1.96 66%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.61Bet365 No changefrom 1.61 –
Draw 3.00Bet365 Shortened 3%from 3.10 –
Paderborn 7.50Bet365 Shortened 6%from 8.00 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 14 Nov, 20:02. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

59%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 23%Draw 18%Paderborn
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn bet builder

Top picks, ranked by how often each leg landed in the last 10 games · 1.40+

  1. Under 4.5 goals Goals 1.40 Bet365 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7/10 Paderborn 10/10
  2. Paderborn over 2.5 corners Corners 1.73 Bet365 Paderborn 8/10
  3. Santiago Castaneda · 1+ shots Player 1.53 Bet365 Paderborn 8/10
Open the full bet builder71 markets with hit rates for every leg, live prices and a suggested builder