Benfica vs Lech Poznań

Benfica host Lech Poznań in the Europe Europa League on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Benfica favourites at 65%, with a 19% chance of a draw. In their last 2 meetings, Benfica won 2, Lech Poznań won 0 and 0 were drawn.

Europe Europa League Thu 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 Save

Benfica

20:00

5 Nov

Lech Poznań

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa

Win probabilities

65%Benfica 19%Draw 15%Lech Poznań

Half-time result Pro

Benfica
Draw
Lech Poznań

Double chance

Benfica or draw 85%
Lech Poznań or draw 35%
Benfica or Lech Poznań 81%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Benfica/Benfica
Benfica/Draw
Benfica/Lech Poznań
Draw/Benfica
Draw/Draw
Draw/Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań/Benfica
Lech Poznań/Draw
Lech Poznań/Lech Poznań

Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Benfica vs Lech Poznań predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Benfica W W W W W

Lech Poznań W L W D W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

BenficaLech Poznań

100% Win rate 20%

3.20 Goals scored 2.00

0.80 Goals conceded 2.20

80% Both teams score 40%

80% Over 2.5 goals 80%

20% Clean sheets 20%

100% Scored first 40%

2.68 xG for 1.48

0.97 xG against 2.27

10.60 Match corners 9.20

Europa League matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

78% Win rate 43%

3.22 Goals scored 2.29

0.89 Goals conceded 1.57

78% Both teams score 29%

78% Over 2.5 goals 71%

22% Clean sheets 43%

78% Scored first 57%

2.09 xG for 1.06

0.71 xG against 1.62

10.44 Match corners 9.71

Europa League matches only, before kick-off: 9 for Benfica and 7 for Lech Poznań.

Benfica at home and Lech Poznań away this season.

100% Win rate 33%

4.50 Goals scored 2.33

0.75 Goals conceded 2.00

75% Both teams score 33%

100% Over 2.5 goals 100%

25% Clean sheets 33%

100% Scored first 67%

2.97 xG for 0.88

0.77 xG against 0.98

11.25 Match corners 11.00

Europa League matches only, before kick-off: 4 for Benfica and 3 for Lech Poznań.