Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Benfica vs Lech Poznań 100,000 times. Benfica won 84,434 of them (84.4%), the draw came up 10.3% of the time and Lech Poznań won 5.3%. The most likely score is 3-0 (10.4%), and both teams score in 50.1% of simulations.
| Benfica win | 84.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10.3% |
| Lech Poznań win | 5.3% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 3.25 – 0.74 |
| Both teams to score | 50.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 56.1% |
| Benfica score first | 83.5% |
| Lech Poznań score first | 14.4% |
| Benfica clean sheet | 47.9% |
| Lech Poznań clean sheet | 4.2% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684670 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Benfica are favourites. They win 84.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.3% for the draw and 5.3% for Lech Poznań. Including the draw, Benfica avoid defeat 94.7% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.1% of simulations. Benfica keep a clean sheet 47.9% of the time and Lech Poznań 4.2%.
The simulations average 4.00 goals: 3.25 for Benfica and 0.74 for Lech Poznań. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.5% and over 3.5 goals 56.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.