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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi 100,000 times. AC Milan won 71,111 of them (71.1%), the draw came up 17.1% of the time and Ferencvárosi won 11.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 50.9% of simulations.
| AC Milan win | 71.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.1% |
| Ferencvárosi win | 11.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.37 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.8% |
| AC Milan score first | 70.7% |
| Ferencvárosi score first | 25.4% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 43.6% |
| Ferencvárosi clean sheet | 9.8% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Sparta Praha
AFC Bournemouth
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684742 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AC Milan are favourites. They win 71.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.1% for the draw and 11.8% for Ferencvárosi. Including the draw, AC Milan avoid defeat 88.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations. AC Milan keep a clean sheet 43.6% of the time and Ferencvárosi 9.8%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 2.37 for AC Milan and 0.84 for Ferencvárosi. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.7% and over 3.5 goals 39.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.