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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lillestrøm vs Viktoria Plzeň 100,000 times. Viktoria Plzeň won 43,241 of them (43.2%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Lillestrøm won 33.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Viktoria Plzeň win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations.
| Lillestrøm win | 33.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 43.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 65.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.4% |
| Lillestrøm score first | 43.9% |
| Viktoria Plzeň score first | 51.6% |
| Lillestrøm clean sheet | 16.9% |
| Viktoria Plzeň clean sheet | 21.4% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Sparta Praha
AFC Bournemouth
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684679 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Viktoria Plzeň are favourites. They win 43.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 33.2% for Lillestrøm. Including the draw, Viktoria Plzeň avoid defeat 66.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzeň win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations. Lillestrøm keep a clean sheet 16.9% of the time and Viktoria Plzeň 21.4%.
The simulations average 3.37 goals: 1.56 for Lillestrøm and 1.81 for Viktoria Plzeň. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.1% and over 3.5 goals 43.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.