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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim 100,000 times. Crystal Palace won 45,650 of them (45.7%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and TSG Hoffenheim won 30.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Crystal Palace win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 63.1% of simulations.
| Crystal Palace win | 45.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| TSG Hoffenheim win | 30.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.79 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 63.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.8% |
| Crystal Palace score first | 53.3% |
| TSG Hoffenheim score first | 41.8% |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 24.6% |
| TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet | 17.2% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Sparta Praha
AFC Bournemouth
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684677 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Crystal Palace are favourites. They win 45.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 30.2% for TSG Hoffenheim. Including the draw, Crystal Palace avoid defeat 69.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.1% of simulations. Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet 24.6% of the time and TSG Hoffenheim 17.2%.
The simulations average 3.20 goals: 1.79 for Crystal Palace and 1.42 for TSG Hoffenheim. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.8% and over 3.5 goals 39.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.