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We simulated Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais 100,000 times. Real Sociedad won 51,378 of them (51.4%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais won 25.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Real Sociedad win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
| Real Sociedad win | 51.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| Olympique Lyonnais win | 25.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.93 – 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.3% |
| Real Sociedad score first | 50.1% |
| Olympique Lyonnais score first | 45.2% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 27.7% |
| Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet | 15% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684683 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Sociedad are favourites. They win 51.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 25.4% for Olympique Lyonnais. Including the draw, Real Sociedad avoid defeat 74.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet 27.7% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais 15%.
The simulations average 3.23 goals: 1.93 for Real Sociedad and 1.30 for Olympique Lyonnais. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.2% and over 3.5 goals 40.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.