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UEFA Europa League · 100,000 simulations

Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction

We simulated Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais 100,000 times. Real Sociedad won 51,378 of them (51.4%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais won 25.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Real Sociedad win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.

Real Sociedad badge
Real Sociedad Anoeta Stadium
Thursday 5 November
Olympique Lyonnais badge
Olympique Lyonnais Away
51.4% 51,378 wins
23.3% Draw
25.4% 25,355 wins
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.30
Likeliest score
1-1 10.4% Top Real Sociedad win: 2-1 9.4%
Both score
62.1%
Over 2.5
62.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián
Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais lineups, team news & head to head

Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Europa League · Thursday 5 November, 17:45

Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais simulation probabilities
Real Sociedad win51.4%
Draw23.3%
Olympique Lyonnais win25.4%
Most likely score1-1 (10.4%)
Expected goals1.93 – 1.30
Both teams to score62.1%
Over 1.5 goals83.4%
Over 2.5 goals62.2%
Over 3.5 goals40.3%
Real Sociedad score first50.1%
Olympique Lyonnais score first45.2%
Real Sociedad clean sheet27.7%
Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet15%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420684683
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction FAQs

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais?

Real Sociedad are favourites. They win 51.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 25.4% for Olympique Lyonnais. Including the draw, Real Sociedad avoid defeat 74.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais?

1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais?

Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet 27.7% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais 15%.

How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais?

The simulations average 3.23 goals: 1.93 for Real Sociedad and 1.30 for Olympique Lyonnais. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.2% and over 3.5 goals 40.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.