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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth 100,000 times. AFC Bournemouth won 59,561 of them (59.6%), the draw came up 21.8% of the time and Sparta Praha won 18.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest AFC Bournemouth win is 1-2 (9.7%). Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations.
| Sparta Praha win | 18.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.8% |
| AFC Bournemouth win | 59.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.03 – 2.01 |
| Both teams to score | 55.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.3% |
| Sparta Praha score first | 32.6% |
| AFC Bournemouth score first | 62.1% |
| Sparta Praha clean sheet | 13.8% |
| AFC Bournemouth clean sheet | 36% |
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Anderlecht
Salzburg
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
1.8–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8–1.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
1.6–1.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684744 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AFC Bournemouth are favourites. They win 59.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.8% for the draw and 18.7% for Sparta Praha. Including the draw, AFC Bournemouth avoid defeat 81.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest AFC Bournemouth win is 1-2 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations. Sparta Praha keep a clean sheet 13.8% of the time and AFC Bournemouth 36%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.03 for Sparta Praha and 2.01 for AFC Bournemouth. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.4% and over 3.5 goals 36.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.