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Stoke City vs Birmingham City

Stoke City host Birmingham City in the England Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our model makes Stoke City favourites at 38%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 10 meetings, Birmingham City won 3, Stoke City won 2 and 5 were drawn.

England Championship Save
Stoke City
15:00
21 Nov
Birmingham City
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Stoke City vs Birmingham City preview

Win probabilities

38%Stoke City 26%Draw 37%Birmingham City

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Stoke City vs Birmingham City

StandingsStoke City 3rd, Birmingham City 1st LineupsTop players for both teams Head to headResults of the last 10 meetings

Stoke City vs Birmingham City: questions and answers

When is Stoke City vs Birmingham City?

Stoke City vs Birmingham City kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Championship, at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke.

Who is the favourite in Stoke City vs Birmingham City?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Stoke City a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Birmingham City 37%.

Where are Stoke City and Birmingham City in the Championship table?

Stoke City are 3rd with 29 points from 15 games. Birmingham City are 1st with 29 points from 15 games.

Stoke City vs Birmingham City lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Stoke City vs Birmingham City players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Birmingham City Jay Stansfield 1.54
  2. 2 Birmingham City August Priske Flyger 1.49
  3. 3 Birmingham City Max Bird 1.28
  4. 4 Birmingham City Liam Millar 0.98
  5. 5 Stoke City Sam Gallagher 0.90

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Jack McGlynn in 11 games 5goals
August Priske Flyger in 11 games 6goals
Top creator
Ethan Galbraith in 14 games 5assists
Liam Millar in 11 games 3assists

Players in form

  1. Jack McGlynn Winger · Stoke City 7.35 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    2
    • Final third9.95 per 90 Top 1%
    • NP goals0.47 per 90 Top 5%
    • Crosses1.94 per 90 Top 5%
  2. Ben Wilmot Centre-back · Stoke City 7.17 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.15 per 90 Top 4%
    • Clearances6.14 per 90 Top 25%
  3. Phil Neumann Centre-back · Birmingham City 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • xG0.19 per 90 Top 3%
    • Clearances7.28 per 90 Top 8%
    • Aerials3.32 per 90 Top 13%
  4. Ethan Galbraith Central midfielder · Stoke City 7.12 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    5
    • Dribbles1.61 per 90 Top 4%
    • G+A0.54 per 90 Top 5%
    • Recoveries5.93 per 90 Top 12%
  5. Alex Cochrane Full-back · Birmingham City 7.12 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    2
    • Big chances0.48 per 90 Top 4%
    • Final third10.47 per 90 Top 4%
    • Crosses1.55 per 90 Top 5%
  6. Christoph Klarer Centre-back · Birmingham City 7.12 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Aerials7.37 per 90 Top 1%
    • Clearances7.30 per 90 Top 8%
    • Duel %64% per 90 Top 16%
  7. Liam Millar Winger · Birmingham City 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    3
    • Big chances0.59 per 90 Top 8%
    • NP goals0.39 per 90 Top 11%
    • Key passes2.02 per 90 Top 20%
  8. August Priske Flyger Striker · Birmingham City 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    6
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.62 per 90 Top 9%
    • Finishing+0.19 per 90 Top 9%
    • On target1.49 per 90 Top 10%
  9. Luke Graham Centre-back · Stoke City 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials3.90 per 90 Top 6%
    • Tackles1.88 per 90 Top 16%
    • Clearances6.55 per 90 Top 17%
  10. Dael Fry Centre-back · Birmingham City 7.06 Form rating
    Apps
    2
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Clearances9.26 per 90 Top 3%
    • Aerials4.70 per 90 Top 4%
    • Duel %68% per 90 Top 8%
  11. Luca Bombino Wing-back · Stoke City 6.90 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Tackles4.66 per 90 Top 1%
    • Duel %62% per 90 Top 5%
    • Assists0.22 per 90 Top 16%
  12. Bosun Lawal Centre-back · Stoke City 6.87 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerial %69% per 90 Top 15%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Stoke City vs Birmingham City form

Stoke City All venues
4 W · 1 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.60
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
0.4
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Championship A Portsmouth 2–1 win xG 0.5–0.6
  2. Championship A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 win xG 1.1–1.5
  3. Championship H Preston North End 2–0 win xG 2.2–0.1
  4. Championship H Bristol City 0–0 draw xG 1.1–0.8
  5. Championship A Derby County 1–0 win xG 0.8–1.3
Birmingham City All venues
4 W · 0 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.40
Scored per game
2.2
Conceded per game
0.6
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Championship H Swansea City 2–1 win xG 3.5–1.2
  2. Championship H Millwall 3–0 win xG 1.6–1.3
  3. Championship A Lincoln City 3–1 win xG 2.5–1.5
  4. Championship A Cardiff City 0–1 defeat xG 1.1–2.2
  5. Championship H Queens Park Rangers 3–0 win xG 1.3–1.1

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Season averages

Stoke CityBirmingham City
80% Win rate 80%
1.40 Goals scored 2.20
0.40 Goals conceded 0.60
40% Both teams score 40%
40% Over 2.5 goals 80%
60% Clean sheets 40%
60% Scored first 80%
1.14 xG for 2.01
0.88 xG against 1.44
11.00 Match corners 7.40

Championship matches only, before kick-off: 5 each.

Birmingham City vs Stoke City head to head

3 Birmingham City wins 5 draws 2 Stoke City wins
2.1 goals per game 60% both teams scored 40% over 2.5 goals
  1. 6 Feb 2027Championship Birmingham City 15:00 Stoke City
  2. 21 Nov 2026Championship Stoke City 15:00 Birmingham City
  3. 24 Jan 2026Championship Birmingham City 1–1 Stoke City
  4. 13 Sep 2025Championship Stoke City 1–0 Birmingham City
  5. 20 Jan 2024Championship Stoke City 1–2 Birmingham City
  6. 26 Dec 2023Championship Birmingham City 1–3 Stoke City
  7. 10 Apr 2023Championship Birmingham City 0–0 Stoke City
  8. 5 Nov 2022Championship Stoke City 1–2 Birmingham City
  9. 19 Feb 2022Championship Stoke City 2–2 Birmingham City
  10. 14 Aug 2021Championship Birmingham City 0–0 Stoke City
  11. 10 Apr 2021Championship Birmingham City 2–0 Stoke City
  12. 4 Oct 2020Championship Stoke City 1–1 Birmingham City

Stoke City vs Birmingham City standings

Championship table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Birmingham City 158522814 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 158523019 +11 29
3 Stoke City 159242418 +6 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers 158432618 +8 28
5 West Bromwich Albion 158432315 +8 28
6 Swansea City 158252218 +4 26
7 Southampton 158432915 +14 24
8 Queens Park Rangers 156632418 +6 24
9 West Ham United 156543723 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 156452119 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 156452018 +2 22
12 Norwich City 157083224 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 156362223 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 154652727 0 18
15 Wrexham 154651820 -2 18
16 Millwall 155372327 -4 18
17 Bristol City 155371624 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 155282029 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 154561323 -10 17
20 Watford 154381323 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 154381526 -11 15
22 Burnley 151772231 -9 10
23 Derby County 152491430 -16 10
24 Preston North End 1522111330 -17 8
  • Stoke City
  • Birmingham City
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Play-offs or qualifying rounds
  • Relegation
Full Championship table

Championship 2026/2027 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 01:54 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Stoke City vs Birmingham City odds

Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Stoke City 2.94Betfair Exchange Drifted 4%from 2.82 38%
Draw 3.50Betfair Exchange Drifted 3%from 3.40 26%
Birmingham City 2.50Betfair Exchange Shortened 2%from 2.56 37%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Stoke City or Draw 1.53Bet365 Shortened 3%from 1.57 64%
Draw or Birmingham City 1.44Bet365 Drifted 6%from 1.36 62%
Stoke City or Birmingham City 1.33Bet365 No changefrom 1.33 74%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Stoke City 1.90Bet365 Shortened 10%from 2.10 51%
Birmingham City 1.80Bet365 Drifted 8%from 1.66 49%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.72Bet365 Shortened 4%from 1.80 57%
BTTS No 2.081xBet Drifted 5%from 1.99 43%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.30Betano Shortened 3%from 1.34 76%
Under 1.5 3.75Bet365 Drifted 10%from 3.40 24%
Over 2.5 1.90Betano Shortened 5%from 2.00 53%
Under 2.5 1.90Bet365 Drifted 6%from 1.80 47%
Over 3.5 3.40Bet365 Shortened 3%from 3.50 31%
Under 3.5 1.35Betano Drifted 3%from 1.31 69%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Stoke City 3.40Bet365 Shortened 6%from 3.60 –
Draw 2.20Bet365 Drifted 5%from 2.10 –
Birmingham City 3.10Bet365 Drifted 3%from 3.00 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 22:11. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

38%Stoke City 26%Draw 37%Birmingham City

Half-time result Pro

  • Stoke City
  • Draw
  • Birmingham City

Double chance

  • Stoke City or draw 64%
  • Birmingham City or draw 62%
  • Stoke City or Birmingham City 74%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Stoke City/Stoke City
  • Stoke City/Draw
  • Stoke City/Birmingham City
  • Draw/Stoke City
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Birmingham City
  • Birmingham City/Stoke City
  • Birmingham City/Draw
  • Birmingham City/Birmingham City
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.